Ponderosa (Parker, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Cardinal/Gold
Coach: Jaron Cohen
League: 4A Western Slope (moving from 4A Metro)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank*: #5

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2019 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Jack Hanenburg 6'0" 190 Senior QB 4.6
Cael Porter 6'0" 195 Senior RB/S 4.8
Joey Treccia 6'3" 270 Senior OL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Line Size, 3-Year QB Starter, Skill Position Talent/Experience
Team Weaknesses: Replacing Entire DL

RATINGS
2019 Final Power Rating: 23.2
2019 National Rank: #2205
2019 State Rank: #27
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +4.5
2020 Starting Power Rating*: 17
2020 National Rank*: #1582
2020 State Rank*: #17
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2019 Rating): 24.9
Dynasty National Rank: #2179
2020 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 7.9
Dynasty Record: 123-66 (76-29 in league)

HISTORICAL
2019 Overall Record: 8-4
2019 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2019 Points For Average: 21.5
2019 Points Against Average: 18.4
2019 Differential: +3.1
2019 Wins: #2145 Montrose (7-0), #2990 Skyline (Longmont) (16-13), #3358 Heritage (Littleton) (26-19), #4279 Windsor (24-23), #5726 Vista Ridge (Colorado Springs) (26-7), #7015 Denver South (Denver) (29-7), #8404 Gateway (Aurora) (41-7), #11363 Aurora Central (Aurora) (42-0)
2019 Losses: #170 Pine Creek (Colorado Springs) (55-17), #268 Columbine (Littleton) (42-3), #2169 Dakota Ridge (Littleton) (20-6), #2176 Legend (Parker) (28-21)
2019 Opponents W-L: 86-52
Recent State Championships: 2003 (5A)
Recent League Championships: 2019 (4A Metro), 2018 (4A Metro), 2016 (4A Foothills), 2014 (tied for 1st; 4A Plains), 2012 (4A Pikes Peak), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (tied for 1st; 5A Continental National)
Winning Streak Entering 2020 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2020 Schedule: 10/9 Bear Creek (Lakewood), 10/17 at Grand Junction Central (Grand Junction), 10/24 at Fruita Monument (Fruita), 10/31 Grand Junction, 11/6 Montrose, 11/14 vs Longmont, 11/21 vs Fountain-Fort Carson (Fountain)
Highest-Rated 2020 Regular Season Opponents*: Montrose (14.7), Fruita Monument (Fruita) (7.5), Fountain-Fort Carson (Fountain) (2.5)
Lowest-Rated 2020 Regular Season Opponents*: Grand Junction Central (Grand Junction) (-18.7), Bear Creek (Lakewood) (-16.1), Grand Junction (-12.1)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.1 (18.7 overall)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -3.1
2020 vs. 2019 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -17.2
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #46
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #3780
2020 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-1
2020 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2020 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 46%




*temporary; not finalized until August 6th






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