Lake Worth (TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Frogs
Colors: Hunter Green/Black/White
Coach: Tracy Welch
League: 4A-1 Region I District 4 (moving from 4A-1 Region II District 6)
Playoff Division: 4A-1
Playoff Division Rank*: #59

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2019 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Caleb Welch 6'2" 195 Senior QB 5.0
Kamron Kimble 5'10" 205 Senior RB/SB 4.5
Mark Fulkerson 5'10" 175 Junior WR 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Returning Skill Position Players, Special QB
Team Weaknesses: Line Inexperience

RATINGS
2019 Final Power Rating: 4
2019 National Rank: #5644
2019 State Rank: #672
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +0.5
2020 Starting Power Rating*: -6.1
2020 National Rank*: #5494
2020 State Rank*: #665
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2019 Rating): 8.5
Dynasty National Rank: #6447
2020 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 14.6
Dynasty Record: 73-110 (42-45 in league)

HISTORICAL
2019 Overall Record: 5-6
2019 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2019 Points For Average: 34.5
2019 Points Against Average: 32.6
2019 Differential: +1.9
2019 Wins: #6354 Joshua (65-54), #7876 Benbrook (42-14), #8590 North Side (Fort Worth) (42-21), #10751 Diamond Hill-Jarvis (Fort Worth) (63-0), #11068 Western Hills (Fort Worth) (50-0)
2019 Losses: #104 La Vega (Waco) (72-0), #2308 Kennedale (48-0), #3137 Boyd (26-22), #4620 Bridgeport (48-35), #5277 Castleberry (Fort Worth) (42-41), #5730 Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Fort Worth) (34-20)
2019 Opponents W-L: 60-62
Recent League Championships: 2009 (3A Region II District 11)
Winning Streak Entering 2020 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2020 Schedule: 8/28 McGregor, 9/4 vs Sanger, 9/11 vs Western Hills (Fort Worth), 9/18 at Venus, 9/25 vs Poly (Fort Worth), 10/2 vs Hirschi (Wichita Falls), 10/9 at Springtown, 10/16 Decatur, 10/23 at Burkburnett, 10/30 Gainesville, 11/13 vs Dumas
Highest-Rated 2020 Regular Season Opponents*: Springtown (44.3), Dumas (38.1), Hirschi (Wichita Falls) (23.6)
Lowest-Rated 2020 Regular Season Opponents*: Western Hills (Fort Worth) (-40.6), Venus (-33.7), Poly (Fort Worth) (-26.2)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.7 (10.3 overall)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 0.8
2020 vs. 2019 Schedule Strength Comparison*: +0.1
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #548
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #2862
2020 Projected Regular Season Record*: 5-6
2020 Projected League Finish*: 5th
2020 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%




*temporary; not finalized until August 6th






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