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Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: T.J. Ewing
League: Metropolitan
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank*: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2018 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Marcus Jones 6'0" 195 Senior MLB/RB
K.J. Adams 6'2" Senior ATH/DB
Lathun Snipes 5'11" 270 Senior OL/DL

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jehiel Budgett 5'11" 175 Senior CB
Andre Crump 5'10" 180 Senior WR
Zach Larrier 6'0" 180 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Playoff Experience

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 54.5
2018 National Rank: #133
2018 State Rank: #20
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: -5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: -1.8
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -0.9
2019 Starting Power Rating*: 31.2
2019 National Rank*: #377
2019 State Rank*: #48
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 25.8
Dynasty National Rank: #2095
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: better by 6.3
Dynasty Record: 80-78 (34-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 12-1
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 49.1
2018 Points Against Average: 13.8
2018 Differential: +35.3
2018 Wins: #592 Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (48-20), #632 San Ramon Valley (Danville) (27-7), #1214 Sheldon (Sacramento) (41-6), #1530 Paraclete (Lancaster) (41-27), #1592 Pitman [John H.] (Turlock) (63-7), #2244 Spanish Springs (Sparks, NV) (47-16), #4252 Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) (63-28), #5074 Burbank [Luther] (Sacramento) (41-6), #8987 Kennedy [John F.] (Sacramento) (50-0), #9994 River City (West Sacramento) (75-0), #12067 McClatchy [C. K.] (Sacramento) (55-0), #12947 Laguna Creek (Elk Grove) (62-0)
2018 Losses: #7 Folsom (63-25)
2018 Opponents W-L: 84-66
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2009 (tied for 1st; Delta River)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 at Sheldon (Sacramento), 8/30 Spanish Springs (Sparks, NV), 9/6 San Ramon Valley (Danville), 9/13 at Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove), 9/27 vs Paraclete (Lancaster), 10/4 River City (West Sacramento), 10/11 at Kennedy [John F.] (Sacramento), 10/18 at Burbank [Luther] (Sacramento), 10/25 Laguna Creek (Elk Grove), 11/1 McClatchy [C. K.] (Sacramento)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents*: San Ramon Valley (Danville) (16.9), Spanish Springs (Sparks, NV) (15.9), Paraclete (Lancaster) (10.9)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents*: Laguna Creek (Elk Grove) (-46.3), McClatchy [C. K.] (Sacramento) (-46.1), River City (West Sacramento) (-36.1)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9 (21.7 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -12.2
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -21.1
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #382
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #3551
2019 Projected Regular Season Record*: 10-0
2019 Projected League Finish*: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 79%




*temporary; not finalized until August 11th






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