Thurston (Springfield, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Colts
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Justin Starck
League: 5A Special District 2 North
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2018 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Grant Starck 6'5" 290 Senior OL/DL
Wesley Kommer 5'11" 220 Senior RB/LB
Jake Riley 6'2" 225 Senior TE/LB

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Santino Stranieri 6'0" 205 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Strength, Size, Experience
Team Weaknesses: Overconfidence Could Be An Issue

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 22.7
2018 National Rank: #2154
2018 State Rank: #8
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.7
2019 Starting Power Rating: 16.5
2019 National Rank: #1190
2019 State Rank: #7
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 14.4
Dynasty National Rank: #4829
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.1
Dynasty Record: 95-73 (65-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 10-3
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 39.8
2018 Points Against Average: 24.8
2018 Differential: +15
2018 Wins: #2095 Wilsonville (30-27), #2741 Churchill (Eugene) (49-48), #4416 Pendleton (51-30), #5516 Crater (Central Point) (40-35), #6975 North Bend (47-14), #9400 Forest Grove (28-0), #9880 Ridgeview (Redmond) (71-38), #11499 Willamette (Eugene) (61-0), #12270 Redmond (35-7), #13045 Springfield (56-0)
2018 Losses: #840 Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (54-7), #2741 Churchill (Eugene) (28-20), #2741 Churchill (Eugene) (42-23)
2018 Opponents W-L: 90-50
Recent State Championships: 2018
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2009 (5A Midwestern), 2008 (5A Midwestern), 2007 (tied for 1st; 5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: 4
Streak List: 11/2/18 Forest Grove (28-0), 11/9/18 Churchill (Eugene) (49-48), 11/17/18 Pendleton (51-30), 11/24/18 Wilsonville (30-27)

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 9/6 Churchill (Eugene), 9/13 at Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene), 9/20 at Crater (Central Point), 9/27 Eagle Point, 10/4 at North Bend, 10/11 Redmond, 10/18 at Willamette (Eugene), 10/25 Springfield, 11/1 at Ridgeview (Redmond)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (20.4), Crater (Central Point) (-4.9), Churchill (Eugene) (-5.3)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Springfield (-58.4), Redmond (-40.5), Willamette (Eugene) (-32.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.6 (3.2 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -21.2
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.8
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #37
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8037
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2019 Projected League Finish: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 21%