St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White/Red
Coach: Trent Herzog
League: Freelance
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 7
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Giovanni Antonini 6'3" 240 Senior OL/LB 4.95
Rory Morgan 6'6" 215 Senior TE/DE 4.7
Morgan Morarity 5'11" 255 Senior OL/DL 5.1

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Senior Leadership, Lines
Team Weaknesses: QB/WR/K/P Inexperience, Kicking Game, Lost Top 2 WRs

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -34.4
2018 National Rank: #12739
2018 State Rank: #906
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -47.2
2019 National Rank: #12307
2019 State Rank: #872
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): -11.8
Dynasty National Rank: #12060
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 35.4
Dynasty Record: 95-79 (43-33 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 5-5
2018 League Record/Finish:  
2018 Points For Average: 19.2
2018 Points Against Average: 25
2018 Differential: -5.8
2018 Wins: #12184 California School for the Deaf (Fremont) (20-14), #13160 San Rafael (44-30), #13346 McKinleyville (18-0), #14230 Harbor (Santa Cruz) (28-14), #14317 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (48-6)
2018 Losses: #5118 Middletown (48-0), #8868 Williams (50-0), #10037 Burton [Phillip & Sala] (San Francisco) (54-21), #11491 Harker (San Jose) (7-6), #12302 Piner (Santa Rosa) (27-7)
2018 Opponents W-L: 45-56
Recent Section Championships: 2008 (V), 2005 (B)
Recent League Championships: 2014 (North Central II), 2013 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2012 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2008 (tied for 1st; North Central I - South), 2005 (North Central I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 vs McKinleyville, 8/30 at Cloverdale, 9/7 Willits, 9/14 San Rafael, 9/21 Burton [Phillip & Sala] (San Francisco), 9/27 vs Healdsburg, 10/5 at Morro Bay, 10/12 at Harker (San Jose), 10/19 Oakland Military Institute (Oakland), 10/26 California School for the Deaf (Fremont)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Cloverdale (-17.9), California School for the Deaf (Fremont) (-31.5), Burton [Phillip & Sala] (San Francisco) (-32.6)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Willits (-53.6), McKinleyville (-52.4), Morro Bay (-51.4)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -31.1 (-27.5 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -32.2
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.1
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #793
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11183
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%