St. Paul (Norwalk, OH)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Flyers
Colors: Red/Black/White
Coach: John Livengood
League: Firelands
Playoff Division: VII
Playoff Division Rank: #14

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2018 JV Record: 8-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Cam Caizzo 5'9" 185 Senior RB/DT 4.5
Gavin Moffit 6'1" 195 Junior G/DE 4.9
Justin Butler 5'9" 180 Senior RB/LB 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: RB/Lines/Secondary Experience, Tradition
Team Weaknesses: Lost QB/K To Graduation, All 3 LBs Graduated

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 14.1
2018 National Rank: #3482
2018 State Rank: #255
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: 0.2
2019 National Rank: #3161
2019 State Rank: #239
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 26.1
Dynasty National Rank: #2045
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25.9
Dynasty Record: 167-36 (104-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 9-2
2018 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 36.7
2018 Points Against Average: 11
2018 Differential: +25.7
2018 Wins: #6605 Mapleton (Ashland) (49-27), #7551 Crestview (Ashland) (42-6), #7792 South Central (Greenwich) (45-6), #7808 Monroeville (37-7), #9082 St. Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (42-0), #9738 Sandusky Central Catholic (Sandusky) (37-6), #9817 Plymouth (28-0), #10973 Western Reserve (Collins) (49-0), #13237 New London (61-0)
2018 Losses: #584 Edgerton (36-0), #4107 Calvert (Tiffin) (33-14)
2018 Opponents W-L: 61-55
Recent State Championships: 2009 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012 (tied for 1st), 2009, 2008, 2007, 2005, 2004 (tied for 1st), 2003
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/31 Northgate (Pittsburgh, PA), 9/6 at St. Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont), 9/13 at Calvert (Tiffin), 9/21 Plymouth, 9/27 at Crestview (Ashland), 10/4 at Mapleton (Ashland), 10/12 South Central (Greenwich), 10/19 Western Reserve (Collins), 10/25 at New London, 11/2 Monroeville
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Calvert (Tiffin) (-3.6), Mapleton (Ashland) (-11.9), Crestview (Ashland) (-16.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: New London (-57.4), Northgate (Pittsburgh, PA) (-53.4), Western Reserve (Collins) (-37.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.9 (-1.9 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -27.9
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #616
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10108
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2019 Projected League Finish: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 42%