GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: 4A Kino
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #2
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2018 JV Record: 7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Bijan Robinson 6'0" 200 Senior RB 4.5
Lathan Ransom 6'2" 195 Senior DB 4.5
Jonah Miller 6'7" 290 Junior OL
ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Bruno Fina 6'4" 240 Senior OG
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Mario Padilla 5'8" 165 Senior APB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Key Starters Returning, Improved Speed/Strength/Maturity, State Championship Experience
Team Weaknesses: DL Questions, DL Size
RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 37.6
2018 National Rank: #699
2018 State Rank: #11
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +13.1
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.6
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.7
2019 Starting Power Rating: 42.4
2019 National Rank: #159
2019 State Rank: #5
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 39
Dynasty National Rank: #555
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 3.4
Dynasty Record: 154-40 (76-6 in league)
HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 13-1
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 43.9
2018 Points Against Average: 15.5
2018 Differential: +28.4
2018 Wins: #1652 Del Valle (El Paso, TX) (42-27), #1690 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (28-21), #2243 Sahuaro (Tucson) (53-6), #2243 Sahuaro (Tucson) (28-12), #2848 Cactus (Glendale) (41-15), #3837 Mingus (Cottonwood) (62-22), #4350 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (49-6), #4865 Tucson (27-3), #5428 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (42-14), #6204 Casa Grande (51-28), #6943 Apache Junction (56-7), #10219 Dobson (Mesa) (56-7), #11258 Vista Grande (Casa Grande) (63-7)
2018 Losses: #207 Saguaro (Scottsdale) (42-16)
2018 Opponents W-L: 100-60
Recent State Championships: 2013 (II)
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2013 (II Section V), 2012 (II Section II), 2011 (II Section II), 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/30 Dobson (Mesa), 9/6 at Desert Edge (Goodyear), 9/20 Cactus (Glendale), 9/27 at Tucson, 10/4 at Sahuaro (Tucson), 10/11 Casa Grande, 10/18 Canyon del Oro (Tucson), 10/25 at Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 11/1 Vista Grande (Casa Grande)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Desert Edge (Goodyear) (16.4), Sahuaro (Tucson) (9.5), Cactus (Glendale) (4.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Vista Grande (Casa Grande) (-49.9), Dobson (Mesa) (-42.7), Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (-18.9)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.5 (13.5 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.7
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.2
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #61
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5190
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-0
2019 Projected League Finish: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 91%