Saguaro (Scottsdale, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Sabercats
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Jason Mohns
League: 4A Desert Sky
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2018 JV Record: 7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Kelee Ringo 6'2" 210 Senior DB
Jacobe Covington 6'2" 190 Senior DB
Damian Sellers 6'4" 230 Senior LB

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECTS
Matt Polk 6'4" 210 Senior WR
Jaylan Jeffers 6'6" 260 Senior OT
Tyler Beverett 6'2" 195 Senior QB
Will Shaffer 6'1" 210 Senior WR
Tye Kassen 6'3" 265 Senior OG
Parker Lewis 6'3" 200 Senior K
Israel Benjamin 5'9" 190 Senior RB
Cameron Nash 5'10" 170 Senior CB

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Brandon Shivers 6'1" 175 Senior CB
Seth Robinson 6'3" 205 Senior OLB
Nate Polk 6'2" 180 Senior S
Connor Soelle 6'1" 195 Senior WR
Jayden Swink 6'2" 250 Senior DT
Clayton Randall 6'2" 185 Senior ILB
Hayden Hatten 6'3" 220 Senior TE
Jelani Newman 6'4" 290 Senior OG
Marqui Johnson 5'8" 180 Senior RB
Hogan Hatten 6'3" 230 Senior ILB
Brayden Green 6'4" 180 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Offensive Experience, Line Size, Secondary Talent/Speed/Length
Team Weaknesses: Replacing Talented LBs

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 50.4
2018 National Rank: #207
2018 State Rank: #5
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +8.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +19.2
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +13.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -11.7
2019 Starting Power Rating: 76.2
2019 National Rank: #13
2019 State Rank: #1
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 47.2
Dynasty National Rank: #177
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 29
Dynasty Record: 181-32 (72-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 13-1
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 48.6
2018 Points Against Average: 12.9
2018 Differential: +35.7
2018 Wins: #366 Helix (La Mesa, CA) (28-21), #699 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (42-16), #1690 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (38-21), #1690 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (61-6), #1707 Chaparral (Scottsdale) (45-37), #2848 Cactus (Glendale) (69-6), #3829 Seton Catholic (Chandler) (69-0), #4162 Mesquite (Gilbert) (49-0), #5175 Estrella Foothills (Goodyear) (49-0), #5456 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (59-28), #6980 Arcadia (Phoenix) (70-14), #7290 Poston Butte (San Tan Valley) (48-3), #7877 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (42-7)
2018 Losses: #524 Liberty (Henderson, NV) (22-12)
2018 Opponents W-L: 94-67
Recent State Championships: 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015 (II), 2014 (III), 2013 (III), 2011 (III), 2010 (4A-I), 2008 (4A-I), 2007 (4A-I), 2006 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2017 (4A Skyline), 2016 (4A Skyline), 2015 (II Section VI), 2014 (III Section III), 2013 (III Section III), 2011 (III Section III), 2010, 2008, 2007, 2004 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: 12
Streak List: 9/1/18 Helix (La Mesa, CA) (28-21), 9/7/18 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (59-28), 9/14/18 Chaparral (Scottsdale) (45-37), 9/21/18 Arcadia (Phoenix) (70-14), 9/28/18 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (38-21), 10/5/18 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (42-7), 10/19/18 Seton Catholic (Chandler) (69-0), 10/26/18 Mesquite (Gilbert) (49-0), 11/2/18 Estrella Foothills (Goodyear) (49-0), 11/9/18 Cactus (Glendale) (69-6), 11/16/18 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (61-6), 11/30/18 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (42-16)

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 Poston Butte (San Tan Valley), 8/31 at Cathedral (San Diego, CA), 9/7 at Faith Lutheran (Las Vegas, NV), 9/13 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale), 9/20 at Chaparral (Scottsdale), 9/27 at Arcadia (Phoenix), 10/4 at Desert Edge (Goodyear), 10/18 at Marcos de Niza (Tempe), 10/25 Seton Catholic (Chandler), 11/1 Mesquite (Gilbert)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Cathedral (San Diego, CA) (58.1), Chaparral (Scottsdale) (18.8), Desert Edge (Goodyear) (16.4)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Poston Butte (San Tan Valley) (-23.7), Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (-23.1), Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (-22)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.4 (18.9 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.4
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #23
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1770
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2019 Projected League Finish: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 85%