Patriot (Nokesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Sean Finnerty
League: Western
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #29

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jakai Moore 6'6" 295 Senior OG
Chris Sonnenberg 6'2" 220 Senior QB

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 13.2
2018 National Rank: #3654
2018 State Rank: #81
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -5.9
2019 Starting Power Rating: -9.5
2019 National Rank: #5021
2019 State Rank: #116
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 17
Dynasty National Rank: #4087
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.5
Dynasty Record: 47-30 (23-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 7-4
2018 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 27.7
2018 Points Against Average: 21.5
2018 Differential: +6.2
2018 Wins: #3989 Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas) (29-19), #5722 Battlefield (Haymarket) (28-14), #6091 Williams [T. C.] (Alexandria) (24-7), #7595 Colgan [Charles J.] (Manassas) (41-13), #8260 Forest Park (Woodbridge) (17-0), #9731 Osbourn (Manassas) (41-20), #10692 Osbourn Park (Manassas) (48-7)
2018 Losses: #430 Colonial Forge (Stafford) (51-35), #650 Westfield (Chantilly) (28-0), #1125 Madison [James] (Vienna) (35-7), #2940 Mountain View (Stafford) (43-35)
2018 Opponents W-L: 64-58
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2017, 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A Conference 8)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/29 Riverbend (Fredericksburg), 9/6 at Mountain View (Stafford), 9/13 at Woodbridge, 9/20 at Forest Park (Woodbridge), 9/27 Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge), 10/11 Osbourn Park (Manassas), 10/18 at Osbourn (Manassas), 10/25 Champe [John] (Aldie), 11/1 Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas), 11/8 at Battlefield (Haymarket)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Champe [John] (Aldie) (6.8), Mountain View (Stafford) (1.8), Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas) (-0.9)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Osbourn Park (Manassas) (-35.7), Forest Park (Woodbridge) (-25.4), Osbourn (Manassas) (-24.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11 (11.2 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -10.6
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -21.6
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #122
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4539
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2019 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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