Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY) previews home GENERAL Coach: Joe Peake League: 3A District 3 Playoff Division: 3A Playoff Division Rank: #30 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 2 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Will Ulery Senior RB/SS Jack Hubbell Senior OL/MLB Garrett Yocum Junior OL/DE STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Weaknesses: Youth, New Head Coach, Completely New Offensive System RATINGS 2018 Final Power Rating: -11.1 2018 National Rank: #8905 2018 State Rank: #126 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.5 2019 Starting Power Rating: -35.9 2019 National Rank: #10578 2019 State Rank: #159 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): -20 Dynasty National Rank: #13331 2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 15.9 Dynasty Record: 17-45 (5-25 in league) HISTORICAL 2018 Overall Record: 4-7 2018 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th) 2018 Points For Average: 21.5 2018 Points Against Average: 30.9 2018 Differential: -9.4 2018 Wins: #6542 Frankfort (15-13), #9647 Henry County (New Castle) (20-12), #11695 Bethlehem (Bardstown) (41-6), #12789 Nelson County (Bardstown) (41-12) 2018 Losses: #1186 Central (Louisville) (47-0), #3609 Elizabethtown (47-7), #4602 Russell (42-13), #4771 Larue County (Hodgenville) (55-21), #4815 Waggener (Louisville) (35-20), #6524 Bardstown (26-16), #9571 Washington County (Springfield) (45-43) 2018 Opponents W-L: 71-63 Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none SCHEDULE 2019 Schedule: 8/23 vs Henry County (New Castle), 8/30 at Kentucky Country Day (Louisville), 9/6 Bethlehem (Bardstown), 9/13 Marion County (Lebanon), 9/20 Elizabethtown, 9/27 Washington County (Springfield), 10/4 at Larue County (Hodgenville), 10/18 at Bardstown, 10/25 Nelson County (Bardstown), 11/1 Moore (Louisville) Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Elizabethtown (4.5), Larue County (Hodgenville) (-5.4), Bardstown (-8.5) Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Nelson County (Bardstown) (-50), Marion County (Lebanon) (-36.1), Bethlehem (Bardstown) (-32.4) 2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3 (-1.1 overall) 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.7 2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.7 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #106 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7831 2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8 2019 Projected League Finish: 4th 2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |