Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Joe Peake
League: 3A District 3
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #30

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Will Ulery Senior RB/SS
Jack Hubbell Senior OL/MLB
Garrett Yocum Junior OL/DE

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Weaknesses: Youth, New Head Coach, Completely New Offensive System

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -11.1
2018 National Rank: #8905
2018 State Rank: #126
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -35.9
2019 National Rank: #10578
2019 State Rank: #159
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): -20
Dynasty National Rank: #13331
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 15.9
Dynasty Record: 17-45 (5-25 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 4-7
2018 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th)
2018 Points For Average: 21.5
2018 Points Against Average: 30.9
2018 Differential: -9.4
2018 Wins: #6542 Frankfort (15-13), #9647 Henry County (New Castle) (20-12), #11695 Bethlehem (Bardstown) (41-6), #12789 Nelson County (Bardstown) (41-12)
2018 Losses: #1186 Central (Louisville) (47-0), #3609 Elizabethtown (47-7), #4602 Russell (42-13), #4771 Larue County (Hodgenville) (55-21), #4815 Waggener (Louisville) (35-20), #6524 Bardstown (26-16), #9571 Washington County (Springfield) (45-43)
2018 Opponents W-L: 71-63
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 vs Henry County (New Castle), 8/30 at Kentucky Country Day (Louisville), 9/6 Bethlehem (Bardstown), 9/13 Marion County (Lebanon), 9/20 Elizabethtown, 9/27 Washington County (Springfield), 10/4 at Larue County (Hodgenville), 10/18 at Bardstown, 10/25 Nelson County (Bardstown), 11/1 Moore (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Elizabethtown (4.5), Larue County (Hodgenville) (-5.4), Bardstown (-8.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Nelson County (Bardstown) (-50), Marion County (Lebanon) (-36.1), Bethlehem (Bardstown) (-32.4)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3 (-1.1 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.7
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.7
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #106
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7831
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2019 Projected League Finish: 4th
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%