GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: J.P. Presley
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: 1/2
Playoff Division Rank: #13
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
R.J. Regan Jr 6'1" 170 Junior DB/WR
Ethan Howard 6'0" 225 Senior ILB/FB
Jonah Laban 6'0" 230 Senior ILB/FB
ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Kameron Hawkins 5'11" 220 Senior LS
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Ryan Hilinski 6'3" 230 Senior QB
Kyle Ford 6'2" 210 Senior WR
Ethan Rae 6'4" 240 Senior TE
Jackson Cloyd 6'3" 220 Senior OLB
Jojo Hawkins 5'9" 160 Senior WR
Reggie Strong Jr. 6'1" 185 Senior S
Elijah Mojarro 6'4" 225 Senior TE
KJ Trujillo 6'1" 170 Senior CB
Zach Brogden 6'1" 215 Senior ILB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Have 3 Returning All-League Defenders, Line Depth
Team Weaknesses: New QB
RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 55.4
2018 National Rank: #115
2018 State Rank: #18
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.7
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +5.2
Historical "Reload Factor" Bonus: +7.9
2019 Starting Power Rating: 43.9
2019 National Rank: #145
2019 State Rank: #24
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 55.1
Dynasty National Rank: #57
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.2
Dynasty Record: 124-62 (41-38 in league)
HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 5-6
2018 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2018 Points For Average: 27
2018 Points Against Average: 34.4
2018 Differential: -7.4
2018 Wins: #195 Servite (Anaheim) (28-20), #373 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (39-37), #561 Heritage (Romoland) (35-16), #576 Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (42-17), #822 San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano) (27-7)
2018 Losses: #1 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (45-7), #2 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (63-28), #9 Centennial (Corona) (35-7), #9 Centennial (Corona) (45-28), #17 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (56-21), #26 Mission Viejo (37-35)
2018 Opponents W-L: 95-37
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006 (Pac-5 (I)), 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 vs San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano), 8/30 at Centennial (Corona), 9/6 vs Edison (Huntington Beach), 9/13 vs Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City), 9/20 at Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 10/4 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 10/10 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/18 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/25 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 11/1 vs Servite (Anaheim)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (116.4), Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (110.4), Centennial (Corona) (79.9)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Edison (Huntington Beach) (18.9), San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano) (25.5), Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (30.5)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 66.1 (63.7 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 60.7
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.4
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2019 Projected League Finish: 5th
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%