Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lightning
Coach: Jamie Willis
League: Howard County
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #18

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 2.5
2018 National Rank: #5805
2018 State Rank: #105
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.4
2019 Starting Power Rating: -6.4
2019 National Rank: #4387
2019 State Rank: #73
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 11.5
Dynasty National Rank: #5674
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 17.9
Dynasty Record: 91-75 (87-70 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 7-4
2018 League Record/Finish: 7-3 (tied for 3rd)
2018 Points For Average: 25.2
2018 Points Against Average: 15.8
2018 Differential: +9.4
2018 Wins: #5415 Wilde Lake (Columbia) (13-9), #7219 Reservoir (Fulton) (28-12), #7962 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (18-0), #8460 Atholton (Columbia) (26-20), #10978 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (41-0), #11125 Hammond (Columbia) (34-0), #13080 Centennial (Ellicott City) (60-0)
2018 Losses: #890 Glenelg (49-19), #3241 Howard (Ellicott City) (22-12), #3385 River Hill (Clarksville) (21-12), #4184 Bennett [James M.] (Salisbury) (41-14)
2018 Opponents W-L: 59-60
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 9/6 Woodlawn (Baltimore), 9/13 at Reservoir (Fulton), 9/20 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville), 9/27 Atholton (Columbia), 10/4 at Oakland Mills (Columbia), 10/11 at River Hill (Clarksville), 10/19 Wilde Lake (Columbia), 10/25 at Howard (Ellicott City), 11/1 Glenelg
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Glenelg (13.2), River Hill (Clarksville) (5.6), Howard (Ellicott City) (-8.3)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Atholton (Columbia) (-34.9), Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (-25.6), Reservoir (Fulton) (-24.3)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.7 (-0.8 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.3
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #88
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5034
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-3
2019 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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