Lake Worth (TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Frogs
Colors: Hunter Green/Black/White
Coach: Tracy Welch
League: 4A-1 Region II District 6
Playoff Division: 4A-1
Playoff Division Rank: #67

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2018 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Caleb Welch 6'1" 185 Junior QB 4.8
Davion Haynes 6'2" 235 Senior LB 4.8
Kam Kimble 6'0" 210 Junior LB 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Improved Size/Speed/Strength
Team Weaknesses: Depth

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -3
2018 National Rank: #7174
2018 State Rank: #720
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -4.6
2019 Starting Power Rating: -17.8
2019 National Rank: #6894
2019 State Rank: #708
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 8.8
Dynasty National Rank: #6497
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.6
Dynasty Record: 68-104 (39-42 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 5-6
2018 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2018 Points For Average: 21
2018 Points Against Average: 32.2
2018 Differential: -11.2
2018 Wins: #5075 Boyd (28-27), #8405 Castleberry (Fort Worth) (23-12), #9962 Western Hills (Fort Worth) (35-27), #11133 North Side (Fort Worth) (55-21), #12042 Diamond Hill-Jarvis (Fort Worth) (49-13)
2018 Losses: #88 La Vega (Waco) (61-0), #1462 Kennedale (49-0), #4324 Benbrook (63-21), #4920 Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Fort Worth) (20-13), #5902 Joshua (36-0), #6271 Bridgeport (25-7)
2018 Opponents W-L: 64-56
Recent League Championships: 2009 (3A Region II District 11)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/30 at North Side (Fort Worth), 9/6 Joshua, 9/13 at Boyd, 9/20 at Bridgeport, 9/27 Diamond Hill-Jarvis (Fort Worth), 10/4 at Benbrook, 10/11 Kennedale, 10/18 at Castleberry (Fort Worth), 10/25 Western Hills (Fort Worth), 11/7 at Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Fort Worth)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Kennedale (6.5), Joshua (-5.7), Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Fort Worth) (-6.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Diamond Hill-Jarvis (Fort Worth) (-47.2), Castleberry (Fort Worth) (-35.2), North Side (Fort Worth) (-32.8)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.6 (8.2 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19.6
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.2
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #801
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7436
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2019 Projected League Finish: 4th
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%