Herndon (VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Hornets
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Dan Coghlan
League: District 2
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #47

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2018 JV Record: 4-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Eddie Ozycz 6'2" 185 Senior DB/WR 4.6
Jordan Owen 6'3" 180 Senior WR 4.7
Carter Nalewanski 6'0" 270 Senior C 5.2

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Returning Linemen, Skill Positions
Team Weaknesses: Graduated Several Seniors Who Started Both Ways

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -8.1
2018 National Rank: #8257
2018 State Rank: #207
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -25.9
2019 National Rank: #8681
2019 State Rank: #219
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 11
Dynasty National Rank: #5816
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 36.9
Dynasty Record: 56-102 (21-61 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 4-6
2018 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2018 Points For Average: 20.3
2018 Points Against Average: 22.2
2018 Differential: -1.9
2018 Wins: #8684 Langley (McLean) (44-20), #9044 Lee [Robert E.] (Springfield) (17-12), #10479 Washington-Lee (Arlington) (27-19), #12125 McLean (31-13)
2018 Losses: #2958 South Lakes (Reston) (23-7), #5270 Yorktown (Arlington) (14-7), #5319 Falls Church (41-25), #5608 Marshall [George C.] (Falls Church) (31-10), #5875 Chantilly (28-21), #10692 Osbourn Park (Manassas) (21-14)
2018 Opponents W-L: 42-65
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/30 Williams [T. C.] (Alexandria), 9/6 vs Osbourn Park (Manassas), 9/20 at Justice (Falls Church), 9/27 Falls Church, 10/4 at Marshall [George C.] (Falls Church), 10/11 Washington-Lee (Arlington), 10/19 McLean, 10/25 at Yorktown (Arlington), 11/1 Langley (McLean), 11/8 at South Lakes (Reston)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: South Lakes (Reston) (6.6), Yorktown (Arlington) (-11.5), Falls Church (-11.9)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: McLean (-46.8), Osbourn Park (Manassas) (-35.7), Washington-Lee (Arlington) (-34.9)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.8
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.5
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.7
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #212
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7743
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2019 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%