Fillmore Central (Harmony, MN)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Silver/Teal/Black
Coach: Chris Mensink
League: A Section 1 (moving from Mid Southeast - East)
Playoff Division: A
Playoff Division Rank: #20

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2018 JV Record: 5-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Hadrian Williams 6'0" 205 Senior DE/G 4.9
Carson Kiehne 5'8" 160 Junior RB/LB 4.7
Nathan Burke 5'10" 270 Junior T/DT 5.8

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience
Team Weaknesses: Replacing Top RB/QB, Must Find Leadership

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -15.9
2018 National Rank: #9863
2018 State Rank: #196
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -30.7
2019 National Rank: #9605
2019 State Rank: #180
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 3.2
Dynasty National Rank: #8173
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 33.9
Dynasty Record: 67-86 (41-57 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 4-5
2018 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 4th)
2018 Points For Average: 27
2018 Points Against Average: 20.4
2018 Differential: +6.6
2018 Wins: #11918 Hayfield (31-0), #12172 Wabasha-Kellogg (Wabasha) (47-14), #13306 Kingsland (Spring Valley) (41-6), #13489 Cotter (Winona) (55-6)
2018 Losses: #3031 Blooming Prairie (41-6), #5926 United South Central (Wells) (22-13), #6773 Rushford-Peterson (Rushford) (42-20), #9277 Southland (Adams) (25-12), #9277 Southland (Adams) (28-18)
2018 Opponents W-L: 45-45
Recent League Championships: 2016 (tied for 1st; Mid Southeast - East)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/30 United South Central (Wells), 9/6 at Goodhue, 9/13 Bethlehem Academy (Faribault), 9/20 Lewiston-Altura (Lewiston), 9/27 at Wabasha-Kellogg (Wabasha), 10/4 at Hayfield, 10/11 Rushford-Peterson (Rushford), 10/16 at Cotter/Hope Lutheran/Riverway (Winona)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Goodhue (-11), United South Central (Wells) (-13.3), Rushford-Peterson (Rushford) (-16.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Wabasha-Kellogg (Wabasha) (-40.8), Hayfield (-39.9), Bethlehem Academy (Faribault) (-38.7)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -13.9 (-16.3 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -22.2
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -8.3
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #162
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8377
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-5
2019 Projected League Finish: 4th
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%