Fern Creek (Louisville, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Burnt Orange/Black
Coach: Joshua Abell
League: 6A District 4 (moving from 5A District 4)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #12

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2018 JV Record: 4-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Anthony Teague 5'10" 170 Senior RB 4.6
Vasean Green 6'0" 175 Senior DB/ATH 4.6
Micah Lee 6'2" 265 Senior OL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Senior Class, Sophomore Class
Team Weaknesses: Replacing All DBs/WRs, QB Uncertainty

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 8.1
2018 National Rank: #4592
2018 State Rank: #54
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -5.7
2019 National Rank: #4245
2019 State Rank: #51
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 18.4
Dynasty National Rank: #3694
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 24.1
Dynasty Record: 101-83 (40-29 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 8-5
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 28.4
2018 Points Against Average: 18.7
2018 Differential: +9.7
2018 Wins: #4247 Oldham County (Buckner) (24-8), #8834 Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (36-14), #9486 Southern (Louisville) (27-7), #9812 Doss (Louisville) (35-7), #10507 Fairdale (42-0), #11702 Atherton (Louisville) (58-19), #13012 Iroquois (Louisville) (40-0), #13111 Seneca (Louisville) (46-12)
2018 Losses: #1186 Central (Louisville) (25-6), #1655 South Oldham (Crestwood) (35-12), #1841 DeSales (Louisville) (40-14), #2211 Butler (Louisville) (43-16), #3534 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (33-13)
2018 Opponents W-L: 80-72
Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A District 4), 2016 (5A District 4), 2015 (5A District 4), 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 at Jeffersonville (IN), 8/30 DuPont Manual (Louisville), 9/6 at Central (Louisville), 9/13 at Butler (Louisville), 9/20 at Ballard (Louisville), 9/27 Eastern (Louisville), 10/4 Oldham County (Buckner), 10/11 at Bullitt East (Mt. Washington), 10/18 Male (Louisville), 10/25 at Southern (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Male (Louisville) (30.3), Butler (Louisville) (16.2), Ballard (Louisville) (9.5)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Eastern (Louisville) (-30.9), Southern (Louisville) (-28.5), Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (-27.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.4 (-0.1 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -4.9
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.5
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #25
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3045
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2019 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%