Fern Creek (Louisville, KY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Tigers Colors: Burnt Orange/Black Coach: Joshua Abell League: 6A District 4 (moving from 5A District 4) Playoff Division: 6A Playoff Division Rank: #12 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 2018 JV Record: 4-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Anthony Teague 5'10" 170 Senior RB 4.6 Vasean Green 6'0" 175 Senior DB/ATH 4.6 Micah Lee 6'2" 265 Senior OL STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Senior Class, Sophomore Class Team Weaknesses: Replacing All DBs/WRs, QB Uncertainty RATINGS 2018 Final Power Rating: 8.1 2018 National Rank: #4592 2018 State Rank: #54 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5 2019 Starting Power Rating: -5.7 2019 National Rank: #4245 2019 State Rank: #51 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 18.4 Dynasty National Rank: #3694 2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 24.1 Dynasty Record: 101-83 (40-29 in league) HISTORICAL 2018 Overall Record: 8-5 2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st) 2018 Points For Average: 28.4 2018 Points Against Average: 18.7 2018 Differential: +9.7 2018 Wins: #4247 Oldham County (Buckner) (24-8), #8834 Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (36-14), #9486 Southern (Louisville) (27-7), #9812 Doss (Louisville) (35-7), #10507 Fairdale (42-0), #11702 Atherton (Louisville) (58-19), #13012 Iroquois (Louisville) (40-0), #13111 Seneca (Louisville) (46-12) 2018 Losses: #1186 Central (Louisville) (25-6), #1655 South Oldham (Crestwood) (35-12), #1841 DeSales (Louisville) (40-14), #2211 Butler (Louisville) (43-16), #3534 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (33-13) 2018 Opponents W-L: 80-72 Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A District 4), 2016 (5A District 4), 2015 (5A District 4), 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5) Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none SCHEDULE 2019 Schedule: 8/23 at Jeffersonville (IN), 8/30 DuPont Manual (Louisville), 9/6 at Central (Louisville), 9/13 at Butler (Louisville), 9/20 at Ballard (Louisville), 9/27 Eastern (Louisville), 10/4 Oldham County (Buckner), 10/11 at Bullitt East (Mt. Washington), 10/18 Male (Louisville), 10/25 at Southern (Louisville) Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Male (Louisville) (30.3), Butler (Louisville) (16.2), Ballard (Louisville) (9.5) Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Eastern (Louisville) (-30.9), Southern (Louisville) (-28.5), Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (-27.6) 2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.4 (-0.1 overall) 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -4.9 2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.5 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #25 2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3045 2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2019 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |