El Molino (Forestville, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lions
Colors: Red/Black/White
Coach: Randy Parmeter
League: North Bay - Redwood
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 7
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2018 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Weston Lewis 6'1" 185 Junior QB/LB
Colman Hayes 6'0" 180 Senior HB/ILB 4.85
Jalen Hall 5'9" 160 Senior ATH/DB 4.54

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Have Strong Group Of Juniors At Critical Skill Positions, Have Hybrid Athletes That Play Multiple Positions
Team Weaknesses: OL Size/Inexperience, Replacing Some Dynamic Seniors

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: -21.2
2018 National Rank: #10853
2018 State Rank: #762
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: -42
2019 National Rank: #11652
2019 State Rank: #833
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): -5.8
Dynasty National Rank: #10683
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 36.2
Dynasty Record: 54-111 (24-69 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 3-7
2018 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2018 Points For Average: 19.3
2018 Points Against Average: 31.2
2018 Differential: -11.9
2018 Wins: #10273 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (14-7), #12302 Piner (Santa Rosa) (42-20), #14317 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (2-0)
2018 Losses: #2230 Fortuna (55-14), #5778 Santa Rosa (43-12), #6143 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (48-30), #6537 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (40-14), #6947 Analy (Sebastopol) (14-7), #7434 Petaluma (56-31), #11746 Lower Lake (29-27)
2018 Opponents W-L: 49-59
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 St. Bernard's (Eureka), 8/30 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 9/6 at Lower Lake, 9/13 Berean Christian (Walnut Creek), 9/20 at Analy (Sebastopol), 10/4 at Santa Rosa, 10/11 at Piner (Santa Rosa), 10/18 Healdsburg, 10/25 Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 11/1 Harker (San Jose)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: St. Bernard's (Eureka) (-5.6), Berean Christian (Walnut Creek) (-12.2), Santa Rosa (-13.7)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Lower Lake (-51.8), Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (-48), Harker (San Jose) (-39.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.4 (-8.5 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.4
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #627
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9091
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2019 Projected League Finish: 4th
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%