Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: A.J. Robinson
League: 5A Special District 2 South
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #5

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2018 JV Record: 1-7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Deonte Jones 5'11" 185 Senior RB 4.65
Dylan Carson 6'5" 235 Senior QB/TE 4.9
Brian Goracke 6'5" 210 Senior WR/OLB 4.8

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Demontre Thomas 6'1" 205 Senior QB
Kimani Quade 5'9" 165 Senior WR
Richard Estrella 6'4" 300 Senior OG
Marshaun Tucker Jr 6'2" 160 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Talent/Athleticism, Have One Of Top RBs In State
Team Weaknesses: QB/Lines Inexperience

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 18.5
2018 National Rank: #2741
2018 State Rank: #12
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: 0
2019 Starting Power Rating: -5.3
2019 National Rank: #4166
2019 State Rank: #20
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 9.7
Dynasty National Rank: #6216
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 15
Dynasty Record: 93-69 (55-43 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 9-2
2018 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 49.3
2018 Points Against Average: 25.5
2018 Differential: +23.8
2018 Wins: #2154 Thurston (Springfield) (28-20), #2154 Thurston (Springfield) (42-23), #5516 Crater (Central Point) (58-20), #8310 Eagle Point (61-40), #8597 South Eugene (Eugene) (28-22), #9465 Central (Independence) (56-21), #10657 Ashland (59-7), #11499 Willamette (Eugene) (56-14), #12253 North Eugene (Eugene) (56-7)
2018 Losses: #2095 Wilsonville (57-50), #2154 Thurston (Springfield) (49-48)
2018 Opponents W-L: 73-45
Recent League Championships: 2018, 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 9/6 at Thurston (Springfield), 9/13 Wilsonville, 9/20 Willamette (Eugene), 9/27 at Ridgeview (Redmond), 10/4 at Ashland, 10/10 North Eugene (Eugene), 10/18 Eagle Point, 10/25 at South Eugene (Eugene), 11/1 at Crater (Central Point)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Thurston (Springfield) (16.5), Wilsonville (-4.7), Crater (Central Point) (-4.9)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: North Eugene (Eugene) (-55.4), Ashland (-38.3), Willamette (Eugene) (-32.6)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.9 (-0.2 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -22.2
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -23.1
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #39
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8377
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2019 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%