GENERAL
Nickname: Firebirds
Colors: Scarlet/Old Gold
Coach: Brent Barnes
League: 6A Desert Valley
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #10
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2018 JV Record: 4-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Jack Miller 6'4" 215 Senior QB
Tommy Christakos 6'4" 210 Senior WR/K
Jaxon Richards 6'5" 215 Senior DE
ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Kamdan Hightower 6'2" 175 Senior CB
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Craig McFarland 6'5" 275 Senior OT
Oliver Carras 6'4" 220 Senior OLB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Close-Knit Senior Class, Senior Talent, Solid Younger Classes
Team Weaknesses: Depth, Size
RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 26.2
2018 National Rank: #1707
2018 State Rank: #24
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +8.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: 18.8
2019 National Rank: #1011
2019 State Rank: #15
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 44.5
Dynasty National Rank: #271
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25.7
Dynasty Record: 161-47 (68-13 in league)
HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 5-6
2018 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2018 Points For Average: 33.8
2018 Points Against Average: 31.9
2018 Differential: +1.9
2018 Wins: #1608 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (40-37), #2195 Hamilton (Chandler) (36-33), #3743 La Joya Community (Avondale) (54-14), #5456 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (35-16), #7469 Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (60-3)
2018 Losses: #207 Saguaro (Scottsdale) (45-37), #236 Pinnacle (Phoenix) (23-7), #370 Desert Vista (Phoenix) (40-14), #410 Mountain Pointe (Phoenix) (42-24), #453 Liberty (Peoria) (51-21), #1945 Boulder Creek (Anthem) (47-44)
2018 Opponents W-L: 72-52
Recent State Championships: 2011 (II), 2010 (5A-II), 2009 (5A-II)
Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st; I Section II), 2013 (II Section VII), 2011 (II Section III), 2010 (5A Desert Valley), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Desert Valley), 2006 (4A Desert Sky), 2005 (4A Desert Sky), 2003 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/23 Hamilton (Chandler), 8/30 at Desert Mountain (Scottsdale), 9/6 at La Joya Community (Avondale), 9/20 Saguaro (Scottsdale), 9/27 at Mountain Ridge (Glendale), 10/4 Boulder Creek (Anthem), 10/11 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix), 10/18 at Mountain Pointe (Phoenix), 10/25 Pinnacle (Phoenix), 11/1 at Liberty (Peoria)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Saguaro (Scottsdale) (76.2), Pinnacle (Phoenix) (47.3), Liberty (Peoria) (27)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (-23.1), Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (-14.7), O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (0.1)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30.3
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.8
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.5
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #9
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #412
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2019 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%