Broad Run (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Spartans
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Matt Griffis
League: Dulles (moving from Potomac)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #4

D1 PROSPECTS
Tim Baldwin 5'11" 185 Senior RB
Mitch Griffis 5'11" 185 Senior QB

RATINGS
2018 Final Power Rating: 34.7
2018 National Rank: #915
2018 State Rank: #15
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.6
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2019 Starting Power Rating: 25.4
2019 National Rank: #595
2019 State Rank: #9
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2018 Rating): 28.4
Dynasty National Rank: #1710
2019 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3
Dynasty Record: 134-51-1 [135-50-1 on the field] (62-27-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2018 Overall Record: 11-2
2018 League Record/Finish: 6-1 (1st)
2018 Points For Average: 33.3
2018 Points Against Average: 10.3
2018 Differential: +23
2018 Wins: #348 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (26-20), #367 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (33-7), #1896 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (28-14), #1896 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (23-7), #2394 Champe [John] (Aldie) (21-13), #4015 Washington [Booker T.] (Norfolk) (40-3), #6364 Briar Woods (Ashburn) (20-0), #7328 Rock Ridge (Ashburn) (41-0), #8425 Parkdale (Riverdale, MD) (54-0), #10569 Edison [Thomas A.] (Alexandria) (57-24), #11294 Freedom (South Riding) (51-0)
2018 Losses: #348 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (35-6), #6929 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (forfeit)
2018 Opponents W-L: 82-73
Recent State Championships: 2009 (4), 2008 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2018 (Potomac), 2016 (tied for 1st; Potomac), 2011 (tied for 1st; AAA Cedar Run), 2009 (AA Dulles), 2008 (Dulles AA), 2007 (Dulles AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2019 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2019 Schedule: 8/29 Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/6 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/13 at Dominion (Sterling), 9/28 Urbana (Ijamsville, MD), 10/4 Loudoun County (Leesburg), 10/11 at Loudoun Valley (Purcellville), 10/18 at Churchill [Winston] (Potomac, MD), 10/25 at Heritage (Leesburg), 11/1 vs Briar Woods (Ashburn), 11/8 at Stone Bridge (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (32.2), Loudoun County (Leesburg) (8), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (6.3)
Lowest-Rated 2019 Regular Season Opponents: Heritage (Leesburg) (-18.6), Urbana (Ijamsville, MD) (-16.8), Briar Woods (Ashburn) (-14.5)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.9 (13.2 overall)
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.6
2019 vs. 2018 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.5
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #41
2019 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2522
2019 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2019 Projected League Finish: 1st
2019 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 13%



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