Thurston (Springfield, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Colts
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Justin Starck
League: 5A Special District 2 (moving from 5A Midwestern)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #10

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2017 JV Record: 9-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Grant Starck 6'5" 280 Junior OL/DL
Jake Riley 6'3" 230 Junior TE/LB
Wesley Kommer 5'10" Junior RB/LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Size, Strength
Team Weaknesses: Speed

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 4.8
2017 National Rank: #5772
2017 State Rank: #42
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: -11.2
2018 National Rank: #5811
2018 State Rank: #44
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 13.8
Dynasty National Rank: #5187
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25
Dynasty Record: 85-70 (60-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 7-3
2017 League Record/Finish: 6-1 (2nd)
2017 Points For Average: 43.9
2017 Points Against Average: 20.4
2017 Differential: +23.5
2017 Wins: #7093 Crater (Central Point) (63-40), #7985 Marist (Eugene) (50-14), #10925 North Eugene (Eugene) (42-8), #11079 Eagle Point (57-0), #11447 Ridgeview (Redmond) (55-20), #11757 Ashland (39-14), #12896 Springfield (70-14)
2017 Losses: #2114 Churchill (Eugene) (40-35), #4598 Silverton (31-14), #6967 Willamette (Eugene) (23-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 41-58
Recent League Championships: 2009 (5A Midwestern), 2008 (5A Midwestern), 2007 (tied for 1st; 5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 at Churchill (Eugene), 9/7 Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene), 9/14 Crater (Central Point), 9/21 North Bend, 9/28 at Redmond, 10/5 Willamette (Eugene), 10/12 at Springfield, 10/19 Ridgeview (Redmond)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (19.7), Churchill (Eugene) (11.2), Crater (Central Point) (-11.8)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Springfield (-40.6), Ridgeview (Redmond) (-39), Redmond (-28.8)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.7 (-2.7 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -10.3
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #55
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7432
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2018 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%