Tamalpais (Mill Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Red-Tailed Hawks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Matthew LemMon
League: Marin County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 3
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2017 JV Record: 1-9
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Ben Erlichmen 6'1" 250 OL/DL 5.8
Cooper Carroll 6'2" 160 QB 5.0
Sam Carlson 6'3" 235 DE/TE 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: WR Depth, Defensive Intensity, Leadership
Team Weaknesses: OL Youth, New Defensive Scheme, Untested LBs

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -23.8
2017 National Rank: #11697
2017 State Rank: #834
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: -33.8
2018 National Rank: #10696
2018 State Rank: #761
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): -2.1
Dynasty National Rank: #9911
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 31.7
Dynasty Record: 60-97 (33-75 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 4-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 5th)
2017 Points For Average: 23.7
2017 Points Against Average: 23.2
2017 Differential: +0.5
2017 Wins: #12290 Piner (Santa Rosa) (21-16), #14117 Balboa (San Francisco) (48-0), #14260 Novato (45-8), #14316 San Rafael (46-0)
2017 Losses: #793 Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (54-0), #4237 Harker (San Jose) (38-0), #6546 San Marin (Novato) (52-19), #10037 Redwood (Larkspur) (21-20), #11225 San Lorenzo (20-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 41-49
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/18 St. Mary's (Albany), 9/1 San Lorenzo, 9/7 Piner (Santa Rosa), 9/15 Redwood (Larkspur), 9/21 at San Rafael, 9/29 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo), 10/6 Terra Linda (San Rafael), 10/13 at Novato, 10/20 San Marin (Novato), 10/27 at Marin Catholic (Kentfield)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (17.3), St. Mary's (Albany) (-17.4), San Marin (Novato) (-21.5)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: San Rafael (-75.8), Novato (-59.3), Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (-52.8)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.8
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -33.9
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -19.1
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #856
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12228
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2018 Projected League Finish: 5th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%