Spencer County (Taylorsville, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Mike Marksbury
League: 4A District 4
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #27

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 10
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2017 JV Record: 3-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Justin Arnold 6'0" 205 Senior ILB 4.9
Patrick Kijinski 6'0" 175 Senior WR/DB 4.8
Seth Thompson 5'11" 175 Junior RB/SS 4.7

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Kadin Smith 6'0" 185 Senior S

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Nearly All Starters Return, Senior Leadership
Team Weaknesses: ILB/Secondary Depth

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -18.8
2017 National Rank: #10863
2017 State Rank: #156
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
2018 Starting Power Rating: -25.5
2018 National Rank: #9081
2018 State Rank: #131
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): -4.9
Dynasty National Rank: #10648
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.6
Dynasty Record: 65-82 (22-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 2-8
2017 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (5th)
2017 Points For Average: 18.1
2017 Points Against Average: 29.6
2017 Differential: -11.5
2017 Wins: #10864 Bardstown (36-14), #11298 Woodford County (Versailles) (49-7)
2017 Losses: #2736 Collins [Martha Layne] (Shelbyville) (38-0), #5542 Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville) (38-13), #6626 Shelby County (Shelbyville) (35-14), #6756 Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (56-8), #6985 Franklin County (Frankfort) (20-0), #9519 Marshall County (Benton) (20-14), #10339 Henry County (New Castle) (34-33), #10356 North Oldham (Goshen) (34-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 47-66
Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st), 2014 (tied for 1st; 4A District 3)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/17 at Bardstown, 8/24 Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville), 8/31 at Bullitt East (Mt. Washington), 9/7 at Henry County (New Castle), 9/14 Woodford County (Versailles), 9/21 at Collins [Martha Layne] (Shelbyville), 9/28 North Oldham (Goshen), 10/5 at Franklin County (Frankfort), 10/12 Shelby County (Shelbyville), 10/26 Marshall County (Benton)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Collins [Martha Layne] (Shelbyville) (-0.5), Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville) (-14.1), Bullitt East (Mt. Washington) (-14.2)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Bardstown (-39.1), Henry County (New Castle) (-37.4), Woodford County (Versailles) (-33.3)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.4
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -22.4
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -21
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #123
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9171
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2018 Projected League Finish: 5th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%