Saguaro (Scottsdale, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Sabercats
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Jason Mohns
League: 4A Desert Sky (moving from 4A Skyline)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2017 JV Record: 7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Connor Soelle 6'1" 195 Senior ATH 4.51
Kelee Ringo 6'2" 185 Junior DB 4.43
Clayton Randall 6'2" 205 Senior LB 4.63

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECTS
Tyler Beverett 6-2 195 Junior QB
Matt Polk 6-4 190 Junior WR
Jaylan Jeffers 6-6 260 Junior OT
Jacobe Covington 6-2 180 Junior S
Tye Kassen 6-3 255 Junior OT
Damian Sellers 6-4 205 Junior OLB
Nate Polk 6'2" 180 Senior S
Seth Robinson 6'3" 205 Senior OLB
Brandon Shivers 6'1" 175 Senior CB
Jayden Swink 6'2" 250 Senior DT
Jelani Newman 6'4" 290 Senior OG
Hogan Hatten 6'3" 230 Senior ILB
Hayden Hatten 6'3" 220 Senior TE

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Josiah Bradley 6'1" 190 Senior S
Mike Maafu 6'2" 265 Senior DT
Zach Wilson 6'0" 200 Senior WR
Max Massingale 5'11" 180 Senior QB
Giovanni Miranda 6'4" 215 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 8 Defensive Starters Return From State Championship Team, Secondary, Both Leading Tacklers Return At LB
Team Weaknesses: Replacing 2-Year QB Starter, Lost Leading Rusher/Top 2 WRs

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 46.5
2017 National Rank: #374
2017 State Rank: #4
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.4
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +20
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -5.4
2018 Starting Power Rating: 59.8
2018 National Rank: #40
2018 State Rank: #2
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 47
Dynasty National Rank: #204
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.8
Dynasty Record: 168-31 (67-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 12-2
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 40.9
2017 Points Against Average: 14.6
2017 Differential: +26.3
2017 Wins: #884 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (28-7), #988 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (24-21), #1018 Higley (Gilbert) (42-14), #1018 Higley (Gilbert) (37-31), #3313 Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek) (49-0), #3383 Peoria (56-7), #5276 Mingus (Cottonwood) (45-13), #5371 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (41-13), #5656 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (42-7), #7015 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (55-6), #8676 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (72-0), #10157 Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (48-0)
2017 Losses: #54 East (Salt Lake City, UT) (35-14), #163 Liberty (Henderson, NV) (51-20)
2017 Opponents W-L: 107-61
Recent State Championships: 2017, 2016, 2015 (II), 2014 (III), 2013 (III), 2011 (III), 2010 (4A-I), 2008 (4A-I), 2007 (4A-I), 2006 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2017 (4A Skyline), 2016 (4A Skyline), 2015 (II Section VI), 2014 (III Section III), 2013 (III Section III), 2011 (III Section III), 2010, 2008, 2007, 2004 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: 11
Streak List: 9/8/17 Higley (Gilbert) (42-14), 9/15/17 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (72-0), 9/22/17 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (24-21), 9/28/17 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (42-7), 10/6/17 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (55-6), 10/20/17 Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (48-0), 10/27/17 Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek) (49-0), 11/3/17 Mingus (Cottonwood) (45-13), 11/10/17 Peoria (56-7), 11/17/17 Higley (Gilbert) (37-31), 12/2/17 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (28-7)

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/17 at Poston Butte (San Tan Valley), 8/24 Liberty (Henderson, NV), 9/1 at Helix (La Mesa, CA), 9/7 at Desert Mountain (Scottsdale), 9/14 Chaparral (Scottsdale), 9/21 Arcadia (Phoenix), 9/28 Desert Edge (Goodyear), 10/5 Marcos de Niza (Tempe), 10/19 at Seton Catholic (Chandler), 10/26 at Mesquite (Gilbert)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Liberty (Henderson, NV) (53.5), Helix (La Mesa, CA) (41.3), Chaparral (Scottsdale) (30.6)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Arcadia (Phoenix) (-42.8), Poston Butte (San Tan Valley) (-27.8), Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (-19.3)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.1 (26.2 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -19.1
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #29
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1720
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 72%