Ryan [Billy] (Denton, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Raiders
Colors: Navy/Red/White
Coach: Dave Henigan
League: 5A-1 Region I District 4 (moving from 5A Region I District 5)
Playoff Division: 5A-1
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 6

TOP PLAYERS
Tra Smith 5'9" 160 Junior FS
Del'shun Neal 6'0" 180 Junior DE
Billy Bowman 5'10" 170 Sophomore WR

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Drew Sanders 6-5 220 Junior WR

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Spencer Sanders 6'2" 190 Senior QB
Gabe Douglas 6'2" 185 Senior WR
Tauskie Dove 6'2" 200 Senior WR
Jordan Rucker 6'0" 170 Senior CB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Improved Defensively, Improved DL Strength/Size, Defensive Speed
Team Weaknesses: QB Inexperience, 4 New OL Starters, Lost Two 3-Year WR Starters

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 56.7
2017 National Rank: #131
2017 State Rank: #18
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.2
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +3.1
Historical "Reload Factor" Bonus: +5.4
2018 Starting Power Rating: 43.9
2018 National Rank: #152
2018 State Rank: #20
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 55.1
Dynasty National Rank: #62
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.2
Dynasty Record: 156-41 (78-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 14-1
2017 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 47.7
2017 Points Against Average: 20.4
2017 Differential: +27.3
2017 Wins: #210 Lone Star (Frisco) (28-21), #385 Coronado (Lubbock) (69-42), #955 Monterey (Lubbock) (49-28), #1115 Lancaster (57-40), #1191 Poteet [Dr. Ralph H.] (Mesquite) (44-3), #1436 Brewer (Fort Worth) (42-17), #1624 Denison (56-16), #1869 Rider (Wichita Falls) (56-7), #2419 Birdville (North Richland Hills) (49-6), #3688 Sherman (53-19), #3900 Wylie East (Wylie) (48-22), #4789 Denton (42-13), #5932 Braswell (Little Elm) (47-14), #6901 Wichita Falls (41-13)
2017 Losses: #51 Highland Park (Dallas) (45-35)
2017 Opponents W-L: 96-79
Recent League Championships: 2017 (5A Region I District 5), 2016 (5A Region I District 5), 2015 (6A Region I District 5), 2011 (4A Region I District 4), 2010 (4A Region I District 4), 2009 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2003 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 at Poteet [Dr. Ralph H.] (Mesquite), 9/7 Fossil Ridge (Keller), 9/20 at West Mesquite (Mesquite), 9/28 Denton, 10/5 Smith [Newman] (Carrollton), 10/12 at Colleyville Heritage (Colleyville), 10/18 at Creekview (Carrollton), 10/25 at Turner [R. L.] (Carrollton), 11/2 at Grapevine, 11/8 Birdville (North Richland Hills)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Poteet [Dr. Ralph H.] (Mesquite) (32.3), Colleyville Heritage (Colleyville) (21.9), West Mesquite (Mesquite) (21.7)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Creekview (Carrollton) (-34.2), Smith [Newman] (Carrollton) (-21.2), Turner [R. L.] (Carrollton) (-20.3)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.1 (35.5 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.1
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -23
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #342
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2075
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 75%