Ralston Valley (Arvada, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Navy/Columbia/Silver
Coach: Matt Loyd
League: 5A Metro West (moving from 5A Mt. Wilson)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2017 JV Record: 10-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Brad Roberts 6'0" 205 Senior RB/LB
Isaac Townsend 6'6" 245 Senior DE
Ben Schneider 6'3" 235 Senior OLB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Size, Speed
Team Weaknesses: Tough League

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 18.7
2017 National Rank: #3050
2017 State Rank: #20
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.3
2018 Starting Power Rating: 8.9
2018 National Rank: #2194
2018 State Rank: #17
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 38
Dynasty National Rank: #662
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 29.1
Dynasty Record: 135-43 (83-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 7-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2017 Points For Average: 21.3
2017 Points Against Average: 16.2
2017 Differential: +5.1
2017 Wins: #1298 Pine Creek (Colorado Springs) (17-14), #4783 Arvada West (Arvada) (20-14), #6387 Rocky Mountain (Fort Collins) (34-9), #8080 Ferris [Joel E.] (Spokane, WA) (2-0), #8194 Rangeview (Aurora) (42-6), #8649 East Bakersfield (Bakersfield, CA) (35-14), #8747 Castle View (Castle Rock) (27-0)
2017 Losses: #408 Pomona (Arvada) (44-20), #824 Eaglecrest (Centennial) (17-15), #1157 Columbine (Littleton) (21-7), #1943 Cherry Creek (Greenwood Village) (34-21), #3802 Fountain-Fort Carson (Fountain) (21-16)
2017 Opponents W-L: 80-60
Recent League Championships: 2014 (5A Jeffco), 2012 (5A North Metro), 2010 (5A Big 6), 2008 (4A North Metro), 2007 (4A Mountain/Plains), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Mountain/Plains), 2003 (Mountain Plains 4A)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/24 Mountain Vista (Highlands Ranch), 8/30 at University (Orlando, FL), 9/7 at Poudre (Fort Collins), 9/13 at Loveland, 9/21 Fossil Ridge (Fort Collins), 9/27 at Arvada West (Arvada), 10/5 Mullen [J. K.] (Denver), 10/11 Columbine (Littleton), 10/20 at Lakewood, 10/26 at Pomona (Arvada)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Columbine (Littleton) (22.2), Pomona (Arvada) (21.9), Loveland (20.3)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Fossil Ridge (Fort Collins) (-33.6), University (Orlando, FL) (-20.9), Poudre (Fort Collins) (-9.7)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.8 (19.8 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.9
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.9
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #11
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2278
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2018 Projected League Finish: 4th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%