Paradise Honors (Surprise, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Coach: Duane Brown
League: 3A Metro West (moving from 2A Central)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #19

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2017 JV Record: 3-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Nathaniel Smith 6'2.5" 225 Junior RB/DL
Clayton Duzy 5'11" 185 Senior QB/S
Dylan Behymer 6'1" 240 Senior OL/MLB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Running Game
Team Weaknesses: Pass Coverage

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -25.2
2017 National Rank: #11934
2017 State Rank: #157
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: -33.2
2018 National Rank: #10558
2018 State Rank: #133
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): -18.1
Dynasty National Rank: #13200
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 15.1
Dynasty Record: 30-22 (17-12 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 4-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2017 Points For Average: 23.2
2017 Points Against Average: 27.7
2017 Differential: -4.5
2017 Wins: #10990 Tonopah Valley (Tonopah) (32-24), #11933 Parker (29-16), #12020 Odyssey Institute (Buckeye) (20-6), #14206 Red Rock (Sedona) (60-14)
2017 Losses: #3222 Santa Cruz Valley (Eloy) (52-0), #8955 Arizona Lutheran Academy (Phoenix) (44-0), #11237 Kingman Academy (Kingman) (38-33), #12363 Bourgade Catholic (Phoenix) (34-21), #13686 Camp Verde (21-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 48-43
Recent League Championships: 2016 (2A Central)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: 1
Streak List: 10/27/17 Tonopah Valley (Tonopah) (32-24)

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/24 Gilbert Christian (Gilbert), 8/31 at Coolidge, 9/7 Wickenburg, 9/15 Window Rock (Fort Defiance), 9/21 at Kingman, 9/28 Odyssey Institute (Buckeye), 10/5 at Arizona College Prep (Chandler), 10/12 at Valley Christian (Chandler), 10/19 Yuma Catholic (Yuma), 10/26 Bourgade Catholic (Phoenix)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Yuma Catholic (Yuma) (4.5), Valley Christian (Chandler) (-24.7), Gilbert Christian (Gilbert) (-29.4)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Window Rock (Fort Defiance) (-70.3), Arizona College Prep (Chandler) (-60.8), Kingman (-56.5)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -18.7
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -38.3
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -19.6
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #178
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12959
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2018 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%