Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Kyle Boblitt
League: 3A District 3
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #25

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Jerry Wimsett 5'9" 175 Senior QB/CB 4.7
Ben Hite 6'3" 195 Senior WR/OLB 4.7
Alex Hite 6'3" 195 Senior WR/OLB 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Senior Leadership
Team Weaknesses: Line Youth

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -13.5
2017 National Rank: #9900
2017 State Rank: #139
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: -30.5
2018 National Rank: #10078
2018 State Rank: #142
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): -21.8
Dynasty National Rank: #13621
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.7
Dynasty Record: 13-38 (4-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 3-8
2017 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (tied for 3rd)
2017 Points For Average: 20.9
2017 Points Against Average: 33.3
2017 Differential: -12.4
2017 Wins: #10339 Henry County (New Castle) (21-20), #12483 Bethlehem (Bardstown) (26-0), #13094 Nelson County (Bardstown) (37-13)
2017 Losses: #1292 Elizabethtown (42-7), #1617 Central (Louisville) (42-3), #1848 Belfry (63-26), #4833 Larue County (Hodgenville) (49-14), #5508 Waggener (Louisville) (27-25), #7902 Frankfort (35-20), #8093 Washington County (Springfield) (55-37), #10864 Bardstown (20-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 75-57
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/17 Frankfort, 8/24 vs Nelson County (Bardstown), 8/31 Larue County (Hodgenville), 9/7 at Washington County (Springfield), 9/14 Elizabethtown, 9/21 Bardstown, 10/12 at Waggener (Louisville), 10/19 at Central (Louisville), 10/26 at Bethlehem (Bardstown)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Central (Louisville) (15.7), Elizabethtown (7.2), Larue County (Hodgenville) (-5.9)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Bethlehem (Bardstown) (-53), Nelson County (Bardstown) (-50.4), Bardstown (-39.1)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.7 (6.4 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -18.9
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.2
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #100
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8029
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2018 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%