Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: T.J. Ewing
League: Metropolitan (moving from Delta)
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #5

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Zach Larrier 6'0" 185 Senior QB/DB
Jehiel Budgett 5'11" 195 Senior RB/DB
Marcus Jones 5'11" 200 Junior LB/RB

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 30.7
2017 National Rank: #1465
2017 State Rank: #133
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: 22.1
2018 National Rank: #889
2018 State Rank: #88
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 23.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2641
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.5
Dynasty Record: 68-77 (29-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 6-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 3rd)
2017 Points For Average: 29.9
2017 Points Against Average: 27.2
2017 Differential: +2.7
2017 Wins: #2014 Elk Grove (48-7), #2247 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (28-20), #2349 Grant (Sacramento) (26-14), #2690 Vista del Lago (Folsom) (42-14), #3629 Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (49-28), #6625 Davis (63-42)
2017 Losses: #250 Jesuit (Carmichael) (34-7), #577 Del Oro (Loomis) (28-6), #596 Vacaville (43-27), #638 Sheldon (Sacramento) (35-20), #2049 Franklin (Elk Grove) (34-13)
2017 Opponents W-L: 67-58
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; Delta River)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/17 Sheldon (Sacramento), 8/24 at San Ramon Valley (Danville), 8/31 at Spanish Springs (Sparks, NV), 9/7 Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove), 9/21 Paraclete (Lancaster), 9/28 at River City (West Sacramento), 10/5 Kennedy [John F.] (Sacramento), 10/12 Burbank [Luther] (Sacramento), 10/19 vs Laguna Creek (Elk Grove), 10/26 vs McClatchy [C. K.] (Sacramento)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: San Ramon Valley (Danville) (31.9), Paraclete (Lancaster) (31.1), Sheldon (Sacramento) (30.1)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: McClatchy [C. K.] (Sacramento) (-37.4), Kennedy [John F.] (Sacramento) (-25.3), Laguna Creek (Elk Grove) (-22.2)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 28.5 (33.7 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.2
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -28.3
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #203
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2409
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%