Kinkaid (Houston, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Nathan Larned
League: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2017 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Josh Williams 5'9" 185 Senior RB/CB 4.6
Zach Daniel 6'0" 185 Senior QB 4.7
Kami Nader 6'3" 245 Senior DE 4.9

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Talented Players At QB/RB Return, Top Linemen Back, Improved Line Play
Team Weaknesses: Small Senior Class

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 35.1
2017 National Rank: #1036
2017 State Rank: #139
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: 23.5
2018 National Rank: #811
2018 State Rank: #114
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 34.7
Dynasty National Rank: #967
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.2
Dynasty Record: 104-46 (52-27 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 7-3
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2017 Points For Average: 39.9
2017 Points Against Average: 22.7
2017 Differential: +17.2
2017 Wins: #1339 Episcopal (Bellaire) (38-21), #2278 Episcopal (Dallas) (35-6), #3175 St. Mark's (Dallas) (67-34), #3495 St. John's (Houston) (42-21), #6000 Westbury Christian (Houston) (45-13), #6310 Houston Christian (Houston) (28-6), #6680 Loomis Chaffee (Windsor, CT) (49-14)
2017 Losses: #1339 Episcopal (Bellaire) (37-27), #1574 Shadow Creek (Pearland) (23-17), #1872 Concordia Lutheran (Tomball) (52-51)
2017 Opponents W-L: 49-41
Recent State Championships: 2017, 2015 (Southwest Prep Large), 2013 (Southwest Prep Large), 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (Southwest Prep - South), 2012 (tied for 1st; Southwest Prep - South), 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: 4
Streak List: 10/20/17 Episcopal (Dallas) (35-6), 10/27/17 Houston Christian (Houston) (28-6), 11/3/17 St. John's (Houston) (42-21), 11/11/17 Episcopal (Bellaire) (38-21)

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 at Nolan Catholic (Fort Worth), 9/7 Westbury Christian (Houston), 9/14 at St. Thomas Catholic (Houston), 9/21 St. Mark's (Dallas), 9/28 Episcopal (Dallas), 10/5 at Concordia Lutheran (Tomball), 10/12 at Greenhill (Addison), 10/19 at Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/26 Houston Christian (Houston), 11/2 at St. John's (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Nolan Catholic (Fort Worth) (23.8), Episcopal (Bellaire) (20.5), Episcopal (Dallas) (9.1)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Houston Christian (Houston) (-13.8), Greenhill (Addison) (-10.2), Westbury Christian (Houston) (-9.4)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.6 (24.6 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4.1
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.5
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #292
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1705
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 16%