Hatch Valley (Hatch, NM)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Coach: Louis Howell
League: 3A District 3 (moving from 4A District 3)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2017 JV Record: 5-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Juan Chairez 6'2" 210 Senior WR/DL
Oscar Gonzalez 5'10" 150 Sophomore QB/DB
Jonah Madrid 5'9" 150 Senior RB/DB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Running Game, Returning Defensive Experience, QB 7-1 As Starter
Team Weaknesses: T/ILB Inexperience

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -5
2017 National Rank: #8133
2017 State Rank: #36
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2018 Starting Power Rating: -20
2018 National Rank: #7880
2018 State Rank: #34
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 4.2
Dynasty National Rank: #8105
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 24.2
Dynasty Record: 121-58 (36-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 8-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 24.3
2017 Points Against Average: 20.1
2017 Differential: +4.2
2017 Wins: #7239 St. Michael's (Santa Fe) (26-24), #9612 Santa Teresa (28-8), #10872 Silver (Silver City) (14-13), #10988 Benson (AZ) (35-18), #11977 Socorro (36-19), #11964 Hot Springs (Truth or Consequences) (24-8), #12328 Shiprock (50-0), #13442 Cobre (Bayard) (50-0)
2017 Losses: #3347 Eunice (41-15), #5105 Ruidoso (20-18), #5105 Ruidoso (30-6), #8745 Chaparral (25-0), #9284 Taos (55-14)
2017 Opponents W-L: 86-56
Recent State Championships: 2015 (4A), 2005 (AA), 2004 (AA), 2003 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2017 (4A District 3), 2015 (4A District 3), 2013 (2A District 3), 2004 (AA District 4), 2003 (AA District 4)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/24 Estancia, 8/31 Ruidoso, 9/7 Eunice, 9/14 Dexter, 9/21 West Las Vegas (Las Vegas), 10/5 Tularosa, 10/12 Silver (Silver City), 10/19 Cobre (Bayard), 10/26 Hot Springs (Truth or Consequences), 11/2 Socorro
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Eunice (5.8), Ruidoso (-15.4), West Las Vegas (Las Vegas) (-20.4)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Cobre (Bayard) (-45), Hot Springs (Truth or Consequences) (-36.3), Socorro (-33)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.9 (-6.7 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.4
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -9.5
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #39
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9802
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%