Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 6A Region I District 5 (moving from 6A Region I District 3)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #69

D1 PROSPECTS
Jaylen Hearst 6'0.5" 180 Senior WR
DeMarcus Jones 6'1" 195 Senior OLB

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Stefan Cobbs 6'0" 170 Senior WR
Arnold Saidov 6'2" 225 Senior WDE

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 42.8
2017 National Rank: #533
2017 State Rank: #74
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.3
2018 Starting Power Rating: 19.9
2018 National Rank: #1055
2018 State Rank: #145
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 40.3
Dynasty National Rank: #493
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.4
Dynasty Record: 91-71 (60-41 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 10-1
2017 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 36.4
2017 Points Against Average: 20.2
2017 Differential: +16.2
2017 Wins: #985 Lamar (Arlington) (49-14), #1361 Flower Mound (42-30), #1735 Keller Central (Keller) (34-13), #1910 Rowlett (36-22), #2032 Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (28-25), #2214 Keller (41-40), #2677 Abilene (28-3), #2970 Haltom (Haltom City) (38-14), #6314 Weatherford (49-24), #7583 Saginaw (42-10)
2017 Losses: #280 Arlington (27-13)
2017 Opponents W-L: 52-67
Recent League Championships: 2017 (6A Region I District 3), 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 at Flower Mound, 9/7 at Ryan [Billy] (Denton), 9/14 Hebron (Carrollton), 9/28 at Nelson [Byron] (Trophy Club), 10/4 at Eaton [V. R.] (Fort Worth), 10/12 Keller Central (Keller), 10/19 at Carroll (Southlake), 10/26 Timber Creek (Fort Worth), 11/1 at Keller, 11/8 Guyer [John H.] (Denton)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Carroll (Southlake) (50.9), Ryan [Billy] (Denton) (43.9), Hebron (Carrollton) (24.3)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (4.4), Eaton [V. R.] (Fort Worth) (5.9), Nelson [Byron] (Trophy Club) (10.9)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.1 (30.3 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.8
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.3
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #29
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #192
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2018 Projected League Finish: 4th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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