Elmira (OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Justin Peeler
League: 4A Special District 4 (moving from 4A Sky-Em)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #22

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: -20.6
2017 National Rank: #11177
2017 State Rank: #119
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2018 Starting Power Rating: -37.3
2018 National Rank: #11294
2018 State Rank: #123
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): -2.6
Dynasty National Rank: #10037
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 34.7
Dynasty Record: 70-76 (39-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 3-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (tied for 4th)
2017 Points For Average: 17.6
2017 Points Against Average: 19.8
2017 Differential: -2.2
2017 Wins: #12317 Newport (32-7), #12324 Sutherlin (34-8), #14021 Siuslaw (Florence) (50-0)
2017 Losses: #1442 Cottage Grove (41-18), #6367 Banks (40-0), #7411 Sweet Home (14-0), #10443 Sisters (28-7), #11191 Junction City (20-0)
2017 Opponents W-L: 41-34
Recent League Championships: 2011 (4A Sky-Em)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 at Siuslaw (Florence), 9/7 at North Valley (Grants Pass), 9/14 Philomath/Alsea (Philomath), 9/21 Marist (Eugene), 9/28 Junction City, 10/5 at Cottage Grove, 10/12 at Marshfield (Coos Bay), 10/19 Klamath Union (Klamath Falls)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Cottage Grove (13.7), Marshfield (Coos Bay) (9.4), Marist (Eugene) (-18.9)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Siuslaw (Florence) (-60.6), Junction City (-44.5), North Valley (Grants Pass) (-43.4)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.1 (-7.4 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -21.8
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.7
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #71
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8990
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-5
2018 Projected League Finish: 4th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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