Cienega (Vail, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bobcats
Colors: Navy/Copper
Coach: Pat Nugent
League: 5A Southern
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2017 JV Record: 5-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Terrell Hayward 5'9" 170 Senior DB/WR 4.4
Thomas Webb Jr 5'10" 200 Senior SS/RB 4.7
Zach Mattas 6'1" 220 Senior LB/TE 4.8

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Jamarye Joiner 6'3" 205 Senior QB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 3 OL Starters Return, Excellent WR
Team Weaknesses: Replacing QB, New LBs

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 31.7
2017 National Rank: #1351
2017 State Rank: #17
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: 0
2018 Starting Power Rating: 11.6
2018 National Rank: #1845
2018 State Rank: #24
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 30.5
Dynasty National Rank: #1471
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 18.9
Dynasty Record: 138-42 (68-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 12-1
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 43.3
2017 Points Against Average: 22.5
2017 Differential: +20.8
2017 Wins: #884 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (30-20), #2389 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (56-55), #2448 Marana (Tucson) (57-50), #2448 Marana (Tucson) (38-35), #4155 Mountain View (Tucson) (41-14), #6083 Tucson (51-17), #6920 Sahuaro (Tucson) (49-28), #6922 Buena (Sierra Vista) (33-10), #7297 Fairfax [Betty H.] (Laveen) (24-6), #8561 Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (51-6), #9793 Flowing Wells (Tucson) (56-14), #9946 Nogales (43-0)
2017 Losses: #800 Notre Dame Prep (Scottsdale) (37-34)
2017 Opponents W-L: 87-59
Recent League Championships: 2017, 2016, 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2014 (II Section II), 2013 (tied for 1st; II Section II), 2010 (4A Kino), 2009 (4A Kino), 2008 (4A Kino), 2006 (4A Kino), 2005 (4A Kino), 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A Kino)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/24 at Cholla (Tucson), 8/31 Sunnyslope (Phoenix), 9/7 at Centennial (Peoria), 9/14 Rincon (Tucson), 9/21 at Mountain View (Tucson), 9/28 Sunnyside (Tucson), 10/5 at Buena (Sierra Vista), 10/12 Marana (Tucson), 10/19 at Nogales, 10/26 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Centennial (Peoria) (28.2), Marana (Tucson) (9.2), Sunnyslope (Phoenix) (2.1)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Cholla (Tucson) (-41), Rincon (Tucson) (-40.2), Nogales (-39.8)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.8 (15.8 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.4
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.2
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #62
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5883
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 3%