Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: A.J. Robinson
League: 5A Special District 2 (moving from 5A Midwestern)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #2

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2017 JV Record: 6-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Richard Estrella 6'4" 290 Senior OL/DL
Marshaun Tucker Jr 6'2" 165 Senior WR
Beau Burnett 6'0" 210 Senior LB

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Kimani Quade 5'9" 165 Senior WR

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Myles Green-Richards 5'11" 175 Senior CB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Line/Skill Position Experience, Have 2nd-Team All-State WR, 1st-Team All-State LB Returns
Team Weaknesses: Top 2 RBs Graduated

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 24.9
2017 National Rank: #2114
2017 State Rank: #12
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.6
2018 Starting Power Rating: 11.2
2018 National Rank: #1894
2018 State Rank: #11
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 9.1
Dynasty National Rank: #6629
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.1
Dynasty Record: 84-67 (50-43 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 12-1
2017 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2017 Points For Average: 45.9
2017 Points Against Average: 18.8
2017 Differential: +27.1
2017 Wins: #2654 Mountain View (Bend) (35-28), #3363 Crescent Valley (Corvallis) (24-22), #5772 Thurston (Springfield) (40-35), #5857 Pendleton (42-15), #6967 Willamette (Eugene) (33-13), #7093 Crater (Central Point) (63-21), #7985 Marist (Eugene) (41-20), #10615 South Eugene (Eugene) (38-6), #10925 North Eugene (Eugene) (56-0), #11079 Eagle Point (76-26), #11757 Ashland (58-14), #12896 Springfield (56-7)
2017 Losses: #1804 Hermiston (38-35)
2017 Opponents W-L: 65-65
Recent League Championships: 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 Thurston (Springfield), 9/7 at Wilsonville, 9/14 at Willamette (Eugene), 9/21 Ashland, 9/28 at North Eugene (Eugene), 10/5 at Eagle Point, 10/12 South Eugene (Eugene), 10/19 Crater (Central Point)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Wilsonville (11.6), Thurston (Springfield) (-11.2), Crater (Central Point) (-11.8)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Ashland (-37.9), South Eugene (Eugene) (-31.4), Willamette (Eugene) (-27.8)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.8 (6.3 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.1
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.3
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #63
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8413
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-1
2018 Projected League Finish: 1st
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 40%