Briar Woods (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: Potomac
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #27

RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 2.5
2017 National Rank: #6297
2017 State Rank: #147
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +3.3
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.2
2018 Starting Power Rating: -9.7
2018 National Rank: #5452
2018 State Rank: #129
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 27.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1938
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 37
Dynasty Record: 97-49 (44-21 in league)

HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 2-8
2017 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (6th)
2017 Points For Average: 14.2
2017 Points Against Average: 30.6
2017 Differential: -16.4
2017 Wins: #8674 Freedom (South Riding) (22-7), #9470 Rock Ridge (Ashburn) (37-20)
2017 Losses: #860 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (47-7), #1007 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (36-23), #1316 Brooke Point (Stafford) (48-14), #1364 North Stafford (Stafford) (45-6), #1881 Broad Run (Ashburn) (16-14), #2275 Champe [John] (Aldie) (39-0), #4249 West Potomac (Alexandria) (27-12), #4702 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (21-7)
2017 Opponents W-L: 72-46
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (5A Conference 14), 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/3/17 Rock Ridge (Ashburn) (37-20)

SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/24 at West Potomac (Alexandria), 9/1 at North Stafford (Stafford), 9/8 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/21 Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/28 vs Freedom (South Riding), 10/5 vs Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 10/12 Champe [John] (Aldie), 10/19 at Potomac Falls (Sterling), 10/26 Broad Run (Ashburn), 11/2 Rock Ridge (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (26.5), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (23.9), North Stafford (Stafford) (23.2)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: Freedom (South Riding) (-29), Rock Ridge (Ashburn) (-26.8), West Potomac (Alexandria) (-16)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.1
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -23.1
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #40
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2450
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-7
2018 Projected League Finish: 6th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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