GENERAL
Nickname: Lava Bears
Colors: Midnight Blue/Vegas Gold
Coach: Matt Craven
League: 6A Special District 6 (moving from 5A Special District 1)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #19
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2017 JV Record: 2-8
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Payton Davis 5'10" 200 Senior RB/LB
Cooper Simmonds 5'9" 160 Senior QB
Lucas Musgrave 6'5" 200 Senior WR
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Many Returning Seniors, All WRs/QBs Are Back, LBs
Team Weaknesses: Must Replace DEs, Lost 3 OL Starters
RATINGS
2017 Final Power Rating: 2.2
2017 National Rank: #6369
2017 State Rank: #51
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.7
2018 Starting Power Rating: -6.1
2018 National Rank: #4711
2018 State Rank: #31
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2017 Rating): 10
Dynasty National Rank: #6349
2018 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 16.1
Dynasty Record: 87-67 (50-30 in league)
HISTORICAL
2017 Overall Record: 5-5
2017 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 3rd)
2017 Points For Average: 29.2
2017 Points Against Average: 26
2017 Differential: +3.2
2017 Wins: #5608 Summit (Bend) (35-29), #6666 Corvallis (42-28), #9866 Hood River Valley (Hood River) (34-16), #11031 Redmond (33-0), #11447 Ridgeview (Redmond) (48-6)
2017 Losses: #1804 Hermiston (35-32), #2479 Wilsonville (41-14), #2654 Mountain View (Bend) (31-28), #4626 Central (Independence) (35-6), #5857 Pendleton (39-20)
2017 Opponents W-L: 55-45
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Intermountain), 2003 (4A Intermountain)
Winning Streak Entering 2018 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2018 Schedule: 8/31 Barlow [Sam] (Gresham), 9/7 at West Salem (Salem), 9/14 at North Medford (Medford), 9/21 Roseburg, 9/28 at South Salem (Salem), 10/5 at Summit (Bend), 10/12 McNary (Keizer), 10/19 at Lakeridge (Lake Oswego), 10/26 Mountain View (Bend)
Highest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: West Salem (Salem) (20.2), Lakeridge (Lake Oswego) (7.8), Mountain View (Bend) (7.7)
Lowest-Rated 2018 Regular Season Opponents: North Medford (Medford) (-26.9), Roseburg (-19.6), South Salem (Salem) (-13.4)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.9 (9.8 overall)
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.6
2018 vs. 2017 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.5
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #17
2018 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3314
2018 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-5
2018 Projected League Finish: 5th
2018 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%