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Mt. Shasta (CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Tony Pavlic
League: Shasta Cascade
Section: Northern
Playoff Division: IV
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: -4.7
2016 National Rank: #8622
2016 State Rank: #603
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.1
2017 Starting Power Rating: -13.6
2017 National Rank: #10365
2017 State Rank: #741
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -16.5
Dynasty National Rank: #12577
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.9
Dynasty Record: 53-89 [54-88 on the field] (30-44 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 8-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2016 Points For Average: 31.2
2016 Points Against Average: 15.5
2016 Differential: +15.7
2016 Wins: #10832 Biggs (27-6), #10884 Klamath Union (Klamath Falls, OR) (26-19), #10996 Fall River (McArthur) (45-21), #12234 Central Valley (Shasta Lake) (28-27), #12591 University Prep (Redding) (55-26), #12807 Chester (48-3), #14022 Etna (32-0), #14094 Modoc (Alturas) (42-0)
2016 Losses: #5534 Pershing County (Lovelock, NV) (34-28), #5860 Durham (21-12), #7191 Colusa (14-0)
2016 Opponents W-L: 64-59
Recent Section Championships: 2006 (III)
Recent League Championships: 2016, 2006 (Greater Mountain Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 at Yreka, 9/1 Central Valley (Shasta Lake), 9/8 Biggs, 9/15 Klamath Union (Klamath Falls, OR), 9/22 at Durham, 9/29 Chester, 10/6 at University Prep (Redding), 10/13 at Fall River (McArthur), 10/20 Etna, 11/3 Modoc (Alturas)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Durham (8.1), Biggs (-10), Fall River (McArthur) (-11.3)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Etna (-42), Modoc (Alturas) (-35.6), Central Valley (Shasta Lake) (-34.1)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20 (-14.5 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19.6
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.4
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #903
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12760
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2017 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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