Xavier (Middletown, CT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Black/White
Coach: Andy Guyon
League: Southern Connecticut - Tier 1
Playoff Division: LL
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2016 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Will Levis 6'4" 215 Senior QB
Kyle MacGillis 6'2" 200 Senior WR/FS
Ryan Cartelli 6'0" 215 Senior ILB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: QB, Skill Positions, Defense
Team Weaknesses: OL Inexperience, CB

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 38.7
2016 National Rank: #834
2016 State Rank: #8
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.8
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3
2017 Starting Power Rating: 37
2017 National Rank: #944
2017 State Rank: #4
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 32.3
Dynasty National Rank: #652
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 7.7
Dynasty Record: 117-39-1 (43-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 6-4
2016 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (tied for 5th)
2016 Points For Average: 27.9
2016 Points Against Average: 15.6
2016 Differential: +12.3
2016 Wins: #891 St. John's (Shrewsbury, MA) (31-15), #1620 Fairfield College Prep (Fairfield) (31-7), #2117 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich) (36-0), #2229 North Haven (42-10), #3430 Hand [Daniel] (Madison) (20-13), #4595 Cross [Wilbur] (New Haven) (42-0)
2016 Losses: #467 West Haven (27-18), #648 Notre Dame (West Haven) (20-0), #656 Shelton (38-35), #1429 Cheshire (26-24)
2016 Opponents W-L: 66-41
Recent State Championships: 2014 (LL-Small), 2012, 2011, 2010, 2005
Recent League Championships: 2012 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2011 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2010 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2009 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2005 (SCC Division I West), 2004 (SCC Division I West)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/17/16 Cross [Wilbur] (New Haven) (42-0)

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/8 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich), 9/15 Newtown, 9/22 at Cross [Wilbur] (New Haven), 9/29 East Haven, 10/6 at Fairfield College Prep (Fairfield), 10/20 at Notre Dame (West Haven), 10/28 North Haven, 11/3 at Hamden, 11/10 at West Haven, 11/16 Greenwich
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: West Haven (38.4), Notre Dame (West Haven) (31.7), Greenwich (29.2)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: East Haven (-11.2), Hamden (9.6), Newtown (18.7)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 33
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #8
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1601
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 26%