Winters Mill (Westminster, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Coach: Matthew Miller
League: Carroll County
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #32

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2016 JV Record: 4-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Alex Barnes 5'10" 165 Junior QB/LB 4.8
Troy Blessing 5'10" 170 Senior WR/LB 4.7
Glen Acha 5'8" 165 Senior RB/DB 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: QB Returns, OL Core Is Back
Team Weaknesses: Must Replace Most Of Secondary

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: -9.8
2016 National Rank: #9668
2016 State Rank: #149
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.1
2017 Starting Power Rating: -8.3
2017 National Rank: #9258
2017 State Rank: #149
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -2.6
Dynasty National Rank: #9044
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.7
Dynasty Record: 52-89 (32-53 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 3-7
2016 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (tied for 5th)
2016 Points For Average: 24.9
2016 Points Against Average: 36.1
2016 Differential: -11.2
2016 Wins: #9323 Bohemia Manor (Chesapeake City) (40-36), #9645 Manchester Valley (Manchester) (33-14), #11432 Patterson Mill (Bel Air) (25-7)
2016 Losses: #3044 Liberty (Sykesville) (48-13), #3932 Century (Sykesville) (46-6), #4327 Boonsboro (71-42), #5845 North Harford (Pylesville) (44-36), #6287 South Carroll (Sykesville) (50-20), #8317 Poolesville (19-13), #10895 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (26-21)
2016 Opponents W-L: 54-51
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 vs Fallston, 9/1 at Joppatowne (Joppa), 9/8 Bohemia Manor (Chesapeake City), 9/15 Poolesville, 9/22 at Liberty (Sykesville), 9/28 South Carroll (Sykesville), 10/6 at Watkins Mill (Gaithersburg), 10/13 at Manchester Valley (Manchester), 10/20 at Westminster, 10/27 Century (Sykesville), 11/3 at Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Westminster (28.6), Liberty (Sykesville) (20), Century (Sykesville) (19.6)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Joppatowne (Joppa) (-26.4), Fallston (-12.3), Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (-11.6)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.3
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.9
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.4
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #121
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7094
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-7
2017 Projected League Finish: 6th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%