Tamalpais (Mill Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Red-Tailed Hawks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Matthew LemMon
League: Marin County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 3
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2016 JV Record: 0-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jackson Moore 6'0" 185 Senior S/RB
Tristan Mitchell 6'2" 205 Senior OL/LB
Daniel Park 6'0" 205 Senior OL/DL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Quickness, Togetherness, Intelligence
Team Weaknesses: New Head Coach/System, Inexperience, Size

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: -4.8
2016 National Rank: #8632
2016 State Rank: #604
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2017 Starting Power Rating: -5.3
2017 National Rank: #8631
2017 State Rank: #609
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -5.3
Dynasty National Rank: #9812
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: even
Dynasty Record: 56-92 (31-72 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 6-5
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 4th)
2016 Points For Average: 25.4
2016 Points Against Average: 28.5
2016 Differential: -3.1
2016 Wins: #9620 Justin-Siena (Napa) (50-21), #12335 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (13-2), #12514 Novato (37-14), #12926 Balboa (San Francisco) (14-0), #13563 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (56-14), #14153 San Rafael (54-0)
2016 Losses: #567 Bishop O'Dowd (Oakland) (58-7), #1511 Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (56-0), #2303 Analy (Sebastopol) (55-7), #3356 Redwood (Larkspur) (66-27), #8344 Terra Linda (San Rafael) (28-14)
2016 Opponents W-L: 65-61
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/26 at Piner (Santa Rosa), 9/2 Balboa (San Francisco), 9/9 at San Lorenzo, 9/16 Marin Catholic (Kentfield), 9/23 at San Marin (Novato), 10/6 at Harker (San Jose), 10/14 at Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo), 10/21 San Rafael, 10/28 Novato, 11/4 at Redwood (Larkspur)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (28), Redwood (Larkspur) (8.9), San Marin (Novato) (6)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (-51.1), San Rafael (-43.6), Balboa (San Francisco) (-38.3)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -11.7 (-0.4 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17.8
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -6.1
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #886
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12449
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2017 Projected League Finish: 5th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%