St. Paul Catholic (Bristol, CT)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Colors: Blue/Red Coach: Jude Kelly League: Naugatuck Valley - Copper Playoff Division: S Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 8 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 2016 JV Record: 5-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Dom Aiello 5'10" Senior DL/OL 5.2 Devon Dawson 6'0" Senior DL/OL 5.1 Damien Rabis 6'1" Senior HB/DB 4.8 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Excellent Attitude Team Weaknesses: Depth RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: -4.3 2016 National Rank: #8521 2016 State Rank: #104 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.7 2017 Starting Power Rating: 2.5 2017 National Rank: #6739 2017 State Rank: #81 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -10.3 Dynasty National Rank: #11236 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 13.5 Dynasty Record: 29-43 (9-27 in league) HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 6-4 2016 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th) 2016 Points For Average: 27.4 2016 Points Against Average: 22.7 2016 Differential: +4.7 2016 Wins: #9965 Torrington (26-14), #11011 Watertown (26-6), #11264 Derby (36-13), #11937 Holy Cross (Waterbury) (46-13), #12995 Woodland Regional (Beacon Falls) (28-19), #14101 Wilby (Waterbury) (54-6) 2016 Losses: #1006 Ansonia (42-6), #3536 Seymour (45-8), #5676 Oxford (35-22), #10087 Sacred Heart/Kaynor RVT (Waterbury) (34-22) 2016 Opponents W-L: 50-55 Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 9/9 at Sacred Heart/Kaynor RVT (Waterbury), 9/16 at Holy Cross (Waterbury), 9/22 Watertown, 9/29 at Derby, 10/6 Torrington, 10/13 at Ansonia, 10/28 Woodland Regional (Beacon Falls), 11/3 Seymour, 11/9 at Wilby (Waterbury), 11/22 Oxford Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Ansonia (45.6), Seymour (12.2), Oxford (-1.2) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Wilby (Waterbury) (-41.1), Woodland Regional (Beacon Falls) (-30.3), Holy Cross (Waterbury) (-18.2) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.5 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.6 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.1 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #124 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9874 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3 2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%