St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries, VA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Wolves Colors: Green/Black/White Coach: Jerry Sarchet League: VISAA Freelance Playoff Division: VISAA 1 Playoff Division Rank: #14 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 9 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2016 JV Record: 2-8 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Nate Stefonsky 5'10" 170 Senior RB/DB 4.5 Ethan Bigbee 5'8" 170 Senior RB/DB 4.5 Michael Kosar 6'5" 190 Junior TE/DE 4.7 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Senior Leadership, Skill Positions, Speed Team Weaknesses: Size, Depth RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: -25.3 2016 National Rank: #12387 2016 State Rank: #302 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -7.8 2017 Starting Power Rating: -17.8 2017 National Rank: #11118 2017 State Rank: #266 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -5.5 Dynasty National Rank: #9869 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.3 Dynasty Record: 42-40 HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 1-9 2016 League Record/Finish:   2016 Points For Average: 13.3 2016 Points Against Average: 27.8 2016 Differential: -14.5 2016 Wins: #14250 Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria) (39-0) 2016 Losses: #1061 Collegiate (Richmond) (41-6), #1519 Woodbridge (Bridgeville, DE) (40-0), #1519 Benedictine (Richmond) (37-0), #7472 Norfolk Academy (Norfolk) (20-14), #7488 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (28-24), #8553 Potomac School (McLean) (30-8), #9405 Paul VI (Fairfax) (41-14), #11383 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC) (18-14), #11723 Riverside (Ashburn) (23-14) 2016 Opponents W-L: 47-55 Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 9/1 at Benedictine (Richmond), 9/8 at Potomac School (McLean), 9/15 at Riverside (Ashburn), 9/22 Paul VI (Fairfax), 9/29 Lancaster, 10/6 at Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria), 10/13 Concordia Prep (Towson, MD), 10/20 at Norfolk Academy (Norfolk), 10/27 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC), 11/3 at Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Benedictine (Richmond) (41.1), Norfolk Academy (Norfolk) (8.2), Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC) (-5.3) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria) (-46.4), Lancaster (-38.1), Riverside (Ashburn) (-16.4) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.5 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.7 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -10.2 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #250 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10193 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%