GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: 4A Kino
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #2
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2016 JV Record: 5-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Matteo Mele 6'6" 265 Senior OL
Derick Bush 6'1" 175 Senior DB
Mario Padilla 5'9" 170 Junior RB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athleticism, Speed, Top Skill Position Players Return
Team Weaknesses: Question Mark At QB
RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 40.1
2016 National Rank: #724
2016 State Rank: #18
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -4
2017 Starting Power Rating: 48.9
2017 National Rank: #337
2017 State Rank: #9
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 33
Dynasty National Rank: #595
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.9
Dynasty Record: 129-37 (67-6 in league)
HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 10-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2016 Points For Average: 30.6
2016 Points Against Average: 14.5
2016 Differential: +16.1
2016 Wins: #509 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (34-7), #1725 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (48-6), #2398 Mountain View (Tucson) (38-20), #2895 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (10-6), #2895 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (31-14), #3156 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (20-12), #5877 Pueblo (Tucson) (47-21), #6318 Nogales (57-0), #7076 Sunnyside (Tucson) (37-14), #7122 Walden Grove (Sahuarita) (56-0)
2016 Losses: #32 Saguaro (Scottsdale) (24-3), #407 Cienega (Vail) (51-14), #2287 Tucson (14-3)
2016 Opponents W-L: 91-57
Recent State Championships: 2013 (II)
Recent League Championships: 2016, 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2013 (II Section V), 2012 (II Section II), 2011 (II Section II), 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/18 St. Mary's (Phoenix), 8/25 at Mountain View (Tucson), 9/8 at Tucson, 9/15 Sunnyside (Tucson), 9/22 Pueblo (Tucson), 9/28 at Cienega (Vail), 10/6 Walden Grove (Sahuarita), 10/13 Nogales, 10/20 at Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 10/27 at Canyon del Oro (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Cienega (Vail) (46.3), Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (35), Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (17.6)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Walden Grove (Sahuarita) (-0.6), Pueblo (Tucson) (7.4), St. Mary's (Phoenix) (9.6)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.4 (29.3 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.9
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.5
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #41
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2385
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 44%