Saguaro (Scottsdale, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Sabercats
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Jason Mohns
League: 4A Skyline
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2016 JV Record: 7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Josiah Bradley 6'1" 210 Senior RB/S 4.59
Max Massingale 5'11" 190 Senior QB 4.55
Giovanni Miranda 6'3" 210 Senior ATH 4.65

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Zach Wilson 6'0" 200 Senior WR

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
K.J. Jarrell 6'1.5" 175 Senior S
Kyle Soelle 6'4" 220 Senior TE
Donovan Dalton 6'4" 200 Senior WR
Jax Wacaser 6'5" 260 Senior OG
Corey Stephens 6'2" 290 Senior OG
Jared Poplawski 6'4" 220 Senior TE
Sean Seawards 6'3" 315 Senior OG
Carson Nugent 6'2" 225 Senior ILB
Jacob Christofferson 6'1" 155 Senior WR
Brandt Casey 6'0" 215 Senior OLB
Jake Christofferson 6'2" 165 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Return Starting QB/Top RB, 3 Of 4 Starting WRs Are Back
Team Weaknesses: Replacing 4 Of 5 OL, Must Replace Majority Of Starting Defense

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 66.9
2016 National Rank: #32
2016 State Rank: #2
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -9.8
2017 Starting Power Rating: 66.5
2017 National Rank: #62
2017 State Rank: #3
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 42.8
Dynasty National Rank: #159
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 23.7
Dynasty Record: 156-29 (63-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 14-0
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2016 Points For Average: 46
2016 Points Against Average: 9.9
2016 Differential: +36.1
2016 Wins: #172 Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch, CO) (49-28), #192 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA) (35-20), #509 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (35-0), #509 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (42-14), #665 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (34-6), #722 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (24-3), #791 Higley (Gilbert) (49-15), #1725 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (50-21), #2359 Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek) (49-13), #2530 Peoria (61-6), #3156 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (34-6), #4802 Amphitheater (Tucson) (56-7), #5305 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (63-0), #5725 Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (63-0)
2016 Losses: none
2016 Opponents W-L: 115-53
Recent State Championships: 2016, 2015 (II), 2014 (III), 2013 (III), 2011 (III), 2010 (4A-I), 2008 (4A-I), 2007 (4A-I), 2006 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2016, 2015 (II Section VI), 2014 (III Section III), 2013 (III Section III), 2011 (III Section III), 2010 (4A Desert Sky), 2008 (4A Desert Sky), 2007 (4A Desert Sky), 2004 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 25
Streak List: 9/11/15 Dobson (Mesa) (49-7), 9/18/15 Westwood (Mesa) (49-0), 10/2/15 Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (30-22), 10/9/15 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (56-14), 10/16/15 Apollo (Glendale) (49-34), 10/23/15 Deer Valley (Glendale) (58-14), 10/30/15 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (42-33), 11/6/15 Apollo (Glendale) (37-17), 11/13/15 Queen Creek (54-0), 11/20/15 Westview (Avondale) (55-14), 11/28/15 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (38-20), 8/19/16 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA) (35-20), 8/27/16 Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch, CO) (49-28), 9/2/16 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (35-0), 9/9/16 Higley (Gilbert) (49-15), 9/16/16 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (34-6), 9/23/16 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (34-6), 9/29/16 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (50-21), 10/7/16 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (63-0), 10/21/16 Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (63-0), 10/28/16 Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek) (49-13), 11/4/16 Amphitheater (Tucson) (56-7), 11/10/16 Peoria (61-6), 11/18/16 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (24-3), 11/26/16 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (42-14)

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/18 at Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 8/26 at Liberty (Henderson, NV), 9/1 East (Salt Lake City, UT), 9/8 Higley (Gilbert), 9/15 St. Mary's (Phoenix), 9/22 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria), 9/29 at Marcos de Niza (Tempe), 10/6 at Thunderbird (Phoenix), 10/20 at Shadow Mountain (Phoenix), 10/27 Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: East (Salt Lake City, UT) (92.6), Liberty (Henderson, NV) (68.3), Higley (Gilbert) (39.9)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (-2.4), St. Mary's (Phoenix) (9.6), Thunderbird (Phoenix) (16)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 32.7 (33.5 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 34.2
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.5
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #8
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #299
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%