Patriot (Nokesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Brud Bicknell
League: Western (moving from Cardinal)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #28

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2016 JV Record: 8-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Elijah Snow 6'1" 190 LB 4.6
Ike Onwuka 5'9" 170 WR/RB 4.5
Jack Quander 6'2" 200 DE 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Speed, Defense
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience/Depth At Many Positions

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 11.6
2016 National Rank: #4795
2016 State Rank: #117
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
2017 Starting Power Rating: 11.1
2017 National Rank: #4793
2017 State Rank: #114
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 21.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2083
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.5
Dynasty Record: 31-23 (15-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 7-4
2016 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (4th)
2016 Points For Average: 31.4
2016 Points Against Average: 22
2016 Differential: +9.4
2016 Wins: #4939 Battlefield (Haymarket) (21-0), #6181 Mountain View (Stafford) (21-0), #7506 Stafford (Falmouth) (29-28), #7865 Woodbridge (38-7), #8854 Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas) (33-28), #10545 Osbourn (Manassas) (52-14), #11952 Osbourn Park (Manassas) (49-14)
2016 Losses: #1836 Brooke Point (Stafford) (49-35), #2639 Hayfield (Alexandria) (30-26), #4440 Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge) (34-13), #6456 Forest Park (Woodbridge) (38-28)
2016 Opponents W-L: 51-67
Recent League Championships: 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A Conference 8)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 at Colonial Forge (Stafford), 8/31 at Mountain View (Stafford), 9/8 Colgan [Charles J.] (Manassas), 9/22 Williams [T. C.] (Alexandria), 9/28 at Westfield (Chantilly), 10/6 Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas), 10/13 at Forest Park (Woodbridge), 10/20 Osbourn (Manassas), 10/27 Osbourn Park (Manassas), 11/3 at Battlefield (Haymarket)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Westfield (Chantilly) (46.6), Colonial Forge (Stafford) (40.9), Williams [T. C.] (Alexandria) (18.3)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Osbourn (Manassas) (-24.6), Osbourn Park (Manassas) (-24.1), Jackson [Stonewall] (Manassas) (-4.3)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.6 (7.4 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.7
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +8.3
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #130
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5257
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%