GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Andy Stefanelli
League: Washington Catholic
Playoff Division: none
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2016 JV Record: 10-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Tyler Baylor 6'5" 240 Senior OLB 4.8
Cam Hart 6'3.5" 205 Junior ATH 4.45
Mitchel Melton 6'4" 215 Sophomore OLB 4.8
ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECT
Tremayn Stott 5'10" 170 Senior WR
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Joshua Paschal 6'4" 255 Senior SDE
Ayinde Eley 6'5" 205 Senior OLB
Naasir Watkins 6'6" 300 Senior OT
Mohamed Ibrahim 5'9" 175 Senior RB
Darnell Pratt Jr. 6'3" 170 Senior WR
Branden Johnson 6'2" 290 Senior OC
Anthony Budd 5'10" 170 Senior WR
Noah Nicholson 5'11" 170 Senior CB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Great Defense, Dual-Threat QB, Special Teams
Team Weaknesses: OL Depth
RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 53.1
2016 National Rank: #190
2016 State Rank: #6
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2017 Starting Power Rating: 52.4
2017 National Rank: #238
2017 State Rank: #8
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 49.6
Dynasty National Rank: #55
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.8
Dynasty Record: 131-33 (78-15 in league)
HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 6-5
2016 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2016 Points For Average: 24.3
2016 Points Against Average: 19.7
2016 Differential: +4.6
2016 Wins: #98 Archbishop Spalding (Severn) (20-14), #509 Mount St. Joseph (Baltimore) (23-21), #625 Bishop McNamara (Forestville) (43-0), #1538 Gilman (Baltimore) (23-17), #2530 St. Mary's Ryken (Leonardtown) (51-15), #4747 Archbishop Carroll (Washington, DC) (45-6)
2016 Losses: #10 DeMatha (Hyattsville) (21-7), #10 DeMatha (Hyattsville) (28-13), #39 St. John's (Washington, DC) (39-22), #129 Gonzaga (Washington, DC) (31-7), #318 Bishop Sullivan Catholic (Virginia Beach, VA) (25-13)
2016 Opponents W-L: 70-51
Recent State Championships: 2012 (WCAC), 2011 (WCAC), 2010 (WCAC), 2009 (WCAC)
Recent League Championships: 2014, 2012, 2011, 2010 (tied for 1st), 2008, 2007 (tied for 1st), 2004
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/26 vs Smyrna (DE), 9/1 Gilman (Baltimore), 9/8 Mount St. Joseph (Baltimore), 9/15 at Archbishop Spalding (Severn), 9/22 Bishop Sullivan Catholic (Virginia Beach, VA), 9/28 Northwest (Germantown), 10/6 St. John's (Washington, DC), 10/13 vs DeMatha (Hyattsville), 10/20 Archbishop Carroll (Washington, DC), 10/27 Gonzaga (Washington, DC), 11/4 at Bishop McNamara (Forestville)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: DeMatha (Hyattsville) (78.4), Bishop Sullivan Catholic (Virginia Beach, VA) (66.4), St. John's (Washington, DC) (65.9)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Archbishop Carroll (Washington, DC) (8.5), Northwest (Germantown) (27.4), Gilman (Baltimore) (40.3)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 43.7 (52.6 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 50.3
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6.6
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #5
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #34
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-5
2017 Projected League Finish: 4th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%