GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Scarlet/Gold
Coach: Trent Merzon
League: Valley Oak
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I-VI
Playoff Division Rank: #4
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2016 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
D1 PROSPECT
Matt Kjeldgaard 6'3" 270 Senior DT
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Return 12 Starters
Team Weaknesses: Must Improve Maturity
RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 49.3
2016 National Rank: #298
2016 State Rank: #33
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -10.3
2017 Starting Power Rating: 51.8
2017 National Rank: #251
2017 State Rank: #34
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 31.7
Dynasty National Rank: #706
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 20.1
Dynasty Record: 149-36 (85-11 in league)
HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 14-2
2016 League Record/Finish: 6-1 (tied for 1st)
2016 Points For Average: 38
2016 Points Against Average: 15.3
2016 Differential: +22.7
2016 Wins: #513 Campolindo (Moraga) (28-21), #665 Bishop's (La Jolla) (47-0), #854 Central Catholic (Modesto) (34-21), #891 Sutter (27-10), #1800 Merced (35-21), #2009 Christian Brothers (Sacramento) (51-14), #2759 Vista del Lago (Folsom) (63-35), #4488 Sierra (Manteca) (28-25), #5183 East Union (Manteca) (42-6), #5183 Lathrop (42-0), #6070 Crater (Central Point, OR) (48-7), #6228 Weston Ranch (Stockton) (39-14), #6804 McNair [Ronald E.] (Stockton) (49-0), #8919 Kimball [John C.] (Tracy) (40-13)
2016 Losses: #1204 Manteca (30-22), #1773 Sonora (27-13)
2016 Opponents W-L: 130-64
Recent Section/State Championships: 2016 (III), 2016 (Bowl 3-A), 2014 (III), 2012 (III), 2007 (IV)
Recent League Championships: 2016 (tied for 1st), 2014 (tied for 1st), 2012, 2011, 2010 (tied for 1st), 2009 (tied for 1st), 2008, 2007, 2004, 2003
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 7
Streak List: 11/4/16 Central Catholic (Modesto) (34-21), 11/10/16 McNair [Ronald E.] (Stockton) (49-0), 11/18/16 Vista del Lago (Folsom) (63-35), 11/25/16 Merced (35-21), 12/2/16 Christian Brothers (Sacramento) (51-14), 12/10/16 Sutter (27-10), 12/17/16 Bishop's (La Jolla) (47-0)
SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 at Sonora, 9/1 El Capitan (Merced), 9/8 Folsom, 9/22 at East Union (Manteca), 9/29 at Weston Ranch (Stockton), 10/6 Manteca, 10/13 Sierra (Manteca), 10/20 at Kimball [John C.] (Tracy), 10/27 Lathrop, 11/3 at Central Catholic (Modesto)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Folsom (59.7), Manteca (41.6), Central Catholic (Modesto) (30.2)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Kimball [John C.] (Tracy) (-13.9), Weston Ranch (Stockton) (-4.4), East Union (Manteca) (3.2)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.1 (25.5 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.6
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.5
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #188
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2445
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 15%