North Tonawanda (NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lumberjacks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Henry Fumerell
League: Section 6 A - North
Playoff Division: A
Playoff Division Rank: #32

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 5.9
2016 National Rank: #6030
2016 State Rank: #198
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.1
2017 Starting Power Rating: 0.4
2017 National Rank: #7250
2017 State Rank: #243
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 16.7
Dynasty National Rank: #3101
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 16.3
Dynasty Record: 95-34 (56-21 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 6-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (tied for 2nd)
2016 Points For Average: 32
2016 Points Against Average: 19.8
2016 Differential: +12.2
2016 Wins: #6571 Williamsville South (Williamsville) (22-6), #7099 Iroquois (Elma) (20-16), #10545 Williamsville East (East Amherst) (35-8), #11547 Sweet Home (Amherst) (46-14), #12001 Amherst Central (Amherst) (49-16), #12484 Tonawanda (41-18)
2016 Losses: #3253 Bennett/Olmsted/Middle Early College/East (Buffalo) (44-23), #3883 Starpoint (Lockport) (18-17), #5903 Grand Island (38-35)
2016 Opponents W-L: 42-40
Recent State Championships: 2009 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2009 (Section 6 AA - North), 2008 (Section 6 AA - North), 2007 (Section 6 AA - North), 2005 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA North), 2004 (Section 6 AA North), 2003 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/1 Sweet Home (Amherst), 9/8 at Grand Island, 9/15 Starpoint (Lockport), 9/22 Kenmore West (Buffalo), 9/28 at Williamsville East (East Amherst), 10/6 at Kenmore East (Tonawanda), 10/13 Tonawanda
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Starpoint (Lockport) (7.6), Grand Island (2.1), Kenmore West (Buffalo) (-2.7)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (-37.5), Tonawanda (-29.8), Williamsville East (East Amherst) (-18.6)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.6 (0.8 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -13.7
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.1
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #418
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11555
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-2
2017 Projected League Finish: 4th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 5%



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