Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: T.J. Ewing
League: Delta
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I-VI
Playoff Division Rank: #21

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2016 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Wayne Doroen 5'10" 230 Senior DL/OL
Aztlan Lopez 5'9" 170 Senior RB/DB
Sam Williams 5'6" 165 Senior RB/LB

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Robert Holt 6'2" 195 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Chemistry

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 28.9
2016 National Rank: #1806
2016 State Rank: #150
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -4.7
2017 Starting Power Rating: 29.9
2017 National Rank: #1644
2017 State Rank: #143
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 19.1
Dynasty National Rank: #2568
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 10.8
Dynasty Record: 62-72 (25-43 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 5-6
2016 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 6th)
2016 Points For Average: 30.4
2016 Points Against Average: 27.3
2016 Differential: +3.1
2016 Wins: #2665 Del Campo (Fair Oaks) (48-21), #2696 Franklin (Elk Grove) (28-26), #2759 Vista del Lago (Folsom) (62-42), #3376 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (40-14), #4283 Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (35-16)
2016 Losses: #357 Elk Grove (21-14), #609 Jesuit (Carmichael) (41-14), #783 Grant (Sacramento) (29-23), #1033 Pitman [John H.] (Turlock) (35-21), #1072 Sheldon (Sacramento) (27-22), #2287 Davis (28-27)
2016 Opponents W-L: 75-53
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; Delta River)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 at Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara), 9/8 Vista del Lago (Folsom), 9/15 at Del Oro (Loomis), 9/22 at Sheldon (Sacramento), 9/29 Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove), 10/6 vs Franklin (Elk Grove), 10/13 at Grant (Sacramento), 10/20 Elk Grove, 10/27 Jesuit (Carmichael), 11/3 at Davis
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Del Oro (Loomis) (46.8), Elk Grove (43), Jesuit (Carmichael) (38.8)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (14.1), Davis (15.5), Vista del Lago (Folsom) (17.7)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31.4 (32.2 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 28.6
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.8
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #84
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #651
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2017 Projected League Finish: 4th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%